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Tubarao vs Fluminense-SC

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Franklin

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Tubarao and Fluminense-SC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tubarao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tubarao
30%
Draws
34%
Fluminense-SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tubarao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tubarao come out ahead of Fluminense-SC on wins alone.
  • Tubarao are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Tubarao Clean Sheet 68%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tubarao Fluminense-SC
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Catarinense 2
Tubarao vs Fluminense-SC
1:0
Jun 28, 2025 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs Tubarao
3:1
Oct 27, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs Tubarao
1:1
Sep 11, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Tubarao vs Fluminense-SC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tubarao Compare

Top Goalscorer Franklin
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Fluminense-SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tubarao 46 / 100
Fluminense-SC 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tubarao Fluminense-SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fluminense-SC conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Tubarao scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Tubarao has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tubarao VS Fluminense-SC
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz16122233:938
2CA Metropolitano16102431:1832
3Caravaggio1694344:1931
4Blumenau1684432:1328
5Tubarao1665522:1723
6Fluminense-SC1653814:2118
7Nacao1646616:2418
8Gremio Juventus1652916:2117
9Guarani de Palhoca1645715:2417
10Jaragua-SC1601156:631