Sport Picks

Brazil

Catarinense 2

Tubarao

4 - 0

Gremio Juventus

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Luam Parede

49'

Junior Santos

71'

Thiago Tinoco

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tubarao in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tubarao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Tubarao

33%

Draws

40%

Gremio Juventus

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gremio Juventus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Tubarao have won more games recently than Gremio Juventus.
40% — that's where the model lands on Gremio Juventus taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%

Tubarao Clean Sheet 18%

Gremio Juventus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tubarao	Gremio Juventus
Matches Played	29	22
Wins	10	5
Draws	8	6
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.75	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Catarinense 2

Gremio Juventus vs Tubarao

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

0:2

May 1, 2026 Catarinense 2

Tubarao vs Gremio Juventus

Possession: 44% - 50% Cards: 4 - 1

4:0

Jul 13, 2025 Catarinense 2

Gremio Juventus vs Tubarao

Possession: 41% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Jul 28, 2024 Catarinense 2

Tubarao vs Gremio Juventus

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 0 - 2

1:1

Jul 25, 2024 Catarinense 2

Gremio Juventus vs Tubarao

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tubarao Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiago Tinoco

2 Goals

Assists Leader Luam Parede

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Gremio Juventus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tubarao 28 / 100

Gremio Juventus 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tubarao Gremio Juventus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tubarao's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Gremio Juventus conceded in 73% of 22 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Tubarao went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tubarao VS Gremio Juventus

1.75 Goals Scored 1.38

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hercilio Luz	15	11	2	2	31:9	35
2	Caravaggio	15	9	3	3	42:17	30
3	CA Metropolitano	15	9	2	4	25:17	29
4	Blumenau	15	8	3	4	31:12	27
5	Tubarao	15	6	5	4	22:15	23
6	Fluminense-SC	15	5	3	7	14:18	18
7	Nacao	15	4	5	6	14:22	17
8	Guarani de Palhoca	15	4	4	7	14:23	16
9	Gremio Juventus	15	4	2	9	13:21	14
10	Jaragua-SC	15	0	1	14	5:57	1