Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tubarao vs Guarani de Palhoca

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Vitao
86' Event
Dudu

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Tubarao and Guarani de Palhoca finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarani de Palhoca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tubarao
6%
Draws
90%
Guarani de Palhoca
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guarani de Palhoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarani de Palhoca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Guarani de Palhoca taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Guarani de Palhoca have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Tubarao Clean Sheet 18%
Guarani de Palhoca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tubarao Guarani de Palhoca
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Catarinense 2
Tubarao vs Guarani de Palhoca
0:2
Jun 7, 2026 Catarinense 2
Guarani de Palhoca vs Tubarao
2:2
Jun 15, 2024 Catarinense 2
Guarani de Palhoca vs Tubarao
1:0
Jul 9, 2022 Catarinense 2
Guarani de Palhoca vs Tubarao
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tubarao Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Guarani de Palhoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dudu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tubarao 10 / 100
Guarani de Palhoca 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tubarao Guarani de Palhoca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tubarao scored in 62% of their last 34 games.

Guarani de Palhoca has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Difficult form: Guarani de Palhoca registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tubarao VS Guarani de Palhoca
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tubarao

(Home)
25 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Guarani de Palhoca
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Tubarao
2 : 3
CA Metropolitano
Page 1 of 7

Guarani de Palhoca

(Away)
25 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Guarani de Palhoca
22 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
7 : 0
Jaragua-SC
19 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 1
Blumenau
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Gremio Juventus
1 : 0
Guarani de Palhoca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz18133235:1042
2CA Metropolitano18122436:1838
3Caravaggio18105347:2035
4Blumenau1894535:1531
5Tubarao1865723:2123
6Guarani de Palhoca1865724:2423
7Nacao1856719:2621
8Fluminense-SC1863916:2521
9Gremio Juventus18521117:2617
10Jaragua-SC1801176:731
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)