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Tubarao vs Jaragua-SC

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Luam Parede
51'
Zaran A.
59' Event
Agapito K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tubarao
6%
Draws
4%
Jaragua-SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tubarao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tubarao lately — more wins on the board than Jaragua-SC.
  • Model gives Tubarao a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Tubarao Clean Sheet 68%
Jaragua-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tubarao Jaragua-SC
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 10 3
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.63 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 4.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 4.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Catarinense 2
Jaragua-SC vs Tubarao
0:3
May 6, 2026 Catarinense 2
Tubarao vs Jaragua-SC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tubarao Compare

Top Goalscorer Luam Parede
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Jaragua-SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Agapito K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tubarao 95 / 100
Jaragua-SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tubarao Jaragua-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Jaragua-SC registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tubarao's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Jaragua-SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Tubarao VS Jaragua-SC
1.63 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 4.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tubarao

(Home)
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Tubarao
2 : 3
CA Metropolitano
05 Jul
Tubarao
1 : 0
Nacao
01 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3
Tubarao
21 Jun
Gremio Juventus
0 : 2
Tubarao
Page 1 of 6

Jaragua-SC

(Away)
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
15 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 2
Nacao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
04 Jul
Gremio Juventus
8 : 1
Jaragua-SC
01 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3
Tubarao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz15112231:935
2CA Metropolitano16102431:1832
3Caravaggio1694344:1931
4Blumenau1583431:1227
5Tubarao1565422:1523
6Fluminense-SC1553714:1818
7Nacao1646616:2418
8Guarani de Palhoca1544714:2316
9Gremio Juventus1542913:2114
10Jaragua-SC1601156:631
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)