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Tubarao vs Joinville

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Copa Santa Catarina 2020 game between Tubarao and Joinville finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Joinville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Tubarao
39%
Draws
31%
Joinville
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Tubarao carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Santa Catarina 2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Joinville here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Tubarao Clean Sheet 20%
Joinville Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tubarao Joinville
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.25 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2021 Copa Santa Catarina
Tubarao vs Joinville
0:3
Oct 24, 2020 Serie D
Tubarao vs Joinville
0:1
Oct 15, 2020 Serie D
Joinville vs Tubarao
6:1
Jan 23, 2020 Catarinense
Joinville vs Tubarao
1:0
Oct 13, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Joinville vs Tubarao
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tubarao 31 / 100
Joinville 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tubarao Joinville

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tubarao found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Joinville conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tubarao remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tubarao VS Joinville
1.25 Goals Scored 0.6
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 40%
38% Over 2.5 20%
38% Over 3.5 20%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marcilio Dias541011:413
2Joinville530211:49
3Gremio Juventus52216:58
4Concordia52128:107
5NEC52038:126
6Tubarao50053:120