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Tubize-Braine vs Virton

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 Stade Leburton
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tubize-Braine play Virton in the National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tubize-Braine averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Virton averaged 2.31 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Tubize-Braine won 3, Virton won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Tubize-Braine and 1.00 for Virton. This points to a Virton double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Tubize-Braine
40%
Draws
30%
Virton
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Virton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Tubize-Braine picked up more points recently compared to Virton.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Tubize-Braine Clean Sheet 23%
Virton Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tubize-Braine Virton
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 19
Draws 8 4
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.93 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Tubize-Braine vs Virton
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Virton vs Tubize-Braine
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Virton vs Tubize-Braine
3:3
Oct 25, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Tubize-Braine vs Virton
2:0
May 3, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Virton vs Tubize-Braine
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tubize-Braine Compare

Top Goalscorer Crame T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Virton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tubize-Braine 32 / 100
Virton 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tubize-Braine Virton

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Virton or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tubize-Braine attacking → ← attacking Virton

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tubize-Braine scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Virton let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Tubize-Braine went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Virton lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 61
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Virton1070318:1345
2Renaissance Mons1063119:843
3Tubize-Braine1044213:1140
4Meux1041515:1631
5Habay La Neuve103169:1528
6Union Rochefortoise1011812:2320