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Tucson vs Arizona United

USA USA

US Open Cup 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tucson play Arizona United in the US Open Cup 2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tucson averaged 2.7 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Arizona United averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Tucson won 0, Arizona United won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 19, 2016 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Tucson and 1.06 for Arizona United. This points to a Tucson double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Tucson
23%
Draws
32%
Arizona United
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Tucson

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Tucson picked up more points recently compared to Arizona United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Tucson Clean Sheet 22%
Arizona United Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tucson Arizona United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.7 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2016 US Open Cup
Tucson vs Arizona United
0:5
Feb 24, 2016 Visit Tucson Sun Cup
Tucson vs Arizona United
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tucson Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Arizona United Compare

Top Goalscorer Tan Long
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rooney L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tucson 45 / 100
Arizona United 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tucson Arizona United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tucson or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tucson attacking → ← attacking Arizona United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tucson scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Arizona United let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Tucson went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Arizona United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 34
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00