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Tuggen vs Freienbach

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tuggen play Freienbach in the 1.Liga Classic Group 3 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tuggen averaged 2.42 goals scored and 1.84 conceded. Freienbach averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Tuggen won 4, Freienbach won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.75 for Tuggen and 1.19 for Freienbach. This points to a Tuggen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Tuggen
21%
Draws
29%
Freienbach
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Tuggen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Tuggen picked up more points recently compared to Freienbach.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.75 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Tuggen Clean Sheet 20%
Freienbach Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuggen Freienbach
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.42 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Tuggen vs Freienbach
5:1
Oct 5, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Freienbach vs Tuggen
3:3
Nov 27, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Tuggen vs Freienbach
3:2
Aug 3, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Freienbach vs Tuggen
0:1
May 4, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Freienbach vs Tuggen
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuggen 49 / 100
Freienbach 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuggen Freienbach

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tuggen or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tuggen attacking → ← attacking Freienbach

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuggen scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Freienbach let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Tuggen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Freienbach lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 39
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Young Fellows Juventus30234381:2673
2Tuggen30194774:5261
3Taverne30186654:3160
4Wettswil-Bonstetten30185774:3659
5Dietikon301281054:4744
6Freienbach301271153:5343
7Baden301181158:5241
8Mendrisio301171242:4440
9Winterthur II301091161:5439
10Collina d'Oro301091146:4439
11Kosova30991254:5536
12Eschen/Mauren307111235:5132
13St. Gallen II30951647:6632
14FC Widnau30761734:6327
15Hongg30671732:6225
16SV Schaffhausen30352224:8714