Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tuggen vs Freienbach - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tuggen host Freienbach in the 1.Liga Classic Group 3. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Freienbach have shipped 1.74 goals a game lately, while Tuggen have conceded 1.65 and scored 2.32. Head-to-head, Tuggen have won 4 to Freienbach's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 5:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.25) point toward Tuggen. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Tuggen
35%
Draws
28%
Freienbach
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tuggen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tuggen lately — more wins on the board than Freienbach.
  • Win probability leans Tuggen's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular 1.Liga Classic Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tuggen have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Tuggen Clean Sheet 19%
Freienbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuggen Freienbach
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 18 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.32 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Tuggen vs Freienbach
5:1
Oct 5, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Freienbach vs Tuggen
3:3
Nov 27, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Tuggen vs Freienbach
3:2
Aug 3, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Freienbach vs Tuggen
0:1
May 4, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Freienbach vs Tuggen
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuggen 40 / 100
Freienbach 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuggen Freienbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tuggen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuggen scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Freienbach conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tuggen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tuggen VS Freienbach
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuggen

(Home)
24 Oct
Winterthur II
1 : 3
Tuggen
17 Oct
Tuggen
2 : 1
Schotz
10 Oct
Tuggen
3 : 3
Collina d'Oro
03 Oct
Mendrisio
1 : 1
Tuggen
26 Sept
Tuggen
0 : 0
Kosova
Page 1 of 7

Freienbach

(Away)
24 Oct
Freienbach
1 : 2
Wettswil-Bonstetten
17 Oct
Freienbach
3 : 1
Wettswil-Bonstetten
10 Oct
St. Gallen II
1 : 0
Freienbach
07 Oct
Freienbach
0 : 0
Eschen/Mauren
27 Sept
FC Widnau
0 : 1
Freienbach
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Gallen II 11 8 1 2 24:18 25
2 Tuggen 11 7 3 1 26:13 24
3 Taverne 11 6 3 2 27:14 21
4 Baden 11 6 1 4 27:17 19
5 Thalwil 11 5 4 2 18:12 19
6 Collina d'Oro 11 5 3 3 13:12 18
7 Kosova 11 4 5 2 16:13 17
8 Dietikon 11 4 2 5 14:16 14
9 Gossau 11 4 2 5 16:21 14
10 Wettswil-Bonstetten 11 3 3 5 14:16 12
11 Eschen/Mauren 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
12 Locarno 11 2 5 4 12:13 11
13 Freienbach 11 2 4 5 12:17 10
14 Mendrisio 11 1 6 4 11:15 9
15 Winterthur II 11 3 0 8 11:21 9
16 FC Widnau 11 1 3 7 8:27 6
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)