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Tuggeranong United vs O'Connor Knights

Australia Australia

NPL ACT 2025 Kambah Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
John M.
42' Event
Foxall B.
74'
Obeid I.

AI Match Summary

Tuggeranong United in this NPL ACT 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tuggeranong United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tuggeranong United
6%
Draws
4%
O'Connor Knights
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tuggeranong United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tuggeranong United has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to O'Connor Knights.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Tuggeranong United.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL ACT 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Tuggeranong United Clean Sheet 10%
O'Connor Knights Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuggeranong United O'Connor Knights
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 16 7
Draws 3 1
Losses 12 24
Goals Scored 2.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 NPL ACT
O'Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United
2:3
Apr 15, 2026 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs O'Connor Knights
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs O'Connor Knights
3:1
Jul 5, 2025 NPL ACT
O'Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United
2:3
May 11, 2025 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs O'Connor Knights
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuggeranong United Compare

Top Goalscorer Foxall B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Falco N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

O'Connor Knights Compare

Top Goalscorer John M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuggeranong United 83 / 100
O'Connor Knights 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuggeranong United O'Connor Knights

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuggeranong United scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

O'Connor Knights let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Tuggeranong United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

O'Connor Knights lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tuggeranong United VS O'Connor Knights
2.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canberra Croatia21170482:2651
2Tigers FC21134450:3343
3Monaro Panthers21133564:2442
4Tuggeranong United2176831:5027
5Gungahlin21741036:6025
6Queanbeyan City2166920:3524
7Yoogali21431431:4915
8O'Connor Knights21321633:7011