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Tuggeranong United vs Queanbeyan City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL ACT Kambah Stadium, Canberra
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Adams M.
48' Event
Tokic K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tuggeranong United
15%
Draws
49%
Queanbeyan City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Queanbeyan City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Tuggeranong United have won more games recently than Queanbeyan City.
  • Queanbeyan City are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Tuggeranong United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Queanbeyan City, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tuggeranong United Clean Sheet 15%
Queanbeyan City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuggeranong United Queanbeyan City
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 15
Draws 1 3
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 2.19 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.35 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Queanbeyan City
0:2
Aug 5, 2026 NPL ACT
Queanbeyan City vs Tuggeranong United
4:2
Apr 11, 2026 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Queanbeyan City
2:1
Jul 12, 2025 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Queanbeyan City
1:3
Jun 11, 2025 NPL ACT
Queanbeyan City vs Tuggeranong United
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuggeranong United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Queanbeyan City Compare

Top Goalscorer Adams M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tokic K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuggeranong United 23 / 100
Queanbeyan City 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuggeranong United Queanbeyan City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queanbeyan City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuggeranong United found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Queanbeyan City conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tuggeranong United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tuggeranong United VS Queanbeyan City
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuggeranong United

(Home)
29 Aug
Tuggeranong United
0 : 2
Queanbeyan City
22 Aug
Tuggeranong United
2 : 0
Canberra Juventus
12 Aug
Brindabella Blues
0 : 6
Tuggeranong United
05 Aug
Queanbeyan City
4 : 2
Tuggeranong United
01 Aug
Canberra Olympic
1 : 2
Tuggeranong United
Page 1 of 7

Queanbeyan City

(Away)
05 Sept
Canberra Croatia
1 : 0
Queanbeyan City
29 Aug
Tuggeranong United
0 : 2
Queanbeyan City
22 Aug
Queanbeyan City
1 : 0
O'Connor Knights
16 Aug
Canberra Juventus
1 : 2
Queanbeyan City
05 Aug
Queanbeyan City
4 : 2
Tuggeranong United
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Canberra Croatia -
TBD -
Tuggeranong United 0
Queanbeyan City 2
Monaro Panthers -
TBD -
Tigers FC 4
Canberra Juventus 2
Semi-finals
Canberra Croatia 1
Queanbeyan City 0
Monaro Panthers 1
Tigers FC 2
Final
Canberra Croatia 0
Tigers FC 3