Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tuilla vs Basico Urraca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Coronel N. E.
72' Event
Gonzalez S.
78' Event
Ousmane A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Tuilla in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tuilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tuilla
30%
Draws
39%
Basico Urraca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Basico Urraca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Tuilla have won more games recently than Basico Urraca.
  • Model gives Tuilla a 31% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Tuilla Clean Sheet 16%
Basico Urraca Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuilla Basico Urraca
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 6 11
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Basico Urraca
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Tuilla
2:2
Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Tuilla
1:0
Oct 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Basico Urraca
1:1
Apr 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Basico Urraca
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Coronel N. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Basico Urraca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuilla 48 / 100
Basico Urraca 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuilla Basico Urraca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tuilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basico Urraca let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Tuilla scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Tuilla went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tuilla VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuilla

(Home)
10 May
Tuilla
1 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
03 May
Llanera
4 : 0
Tuilla
26 Apr
Club Siero
1 : 0
Tuilla
19 Apr
Tuilla
4 : 0
Real Titanico
12 Apr
Navarro
1 : 1
Tuilla
Page 1 of 7

Basico Urraca

(Away)
11 May
Basico Urraca
1 : 4
Praviano
04 May
Gijon B
1 : 1
Basico Urraca
26 Apr
CD Roces
0 : 2
Basico Urraca
17 Apr
Basico Urraca
1 : 1
Union Club Ceares
12 Apr
Lealtad
5 : 1
Basico Urraca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Oviedo B 34 28 5 1 82:14 89
2 Caudal Deportivo 34 23 7 4 67:15 76
3 Covadonga 34 22 7 5 59:17 73
4 Gijon B 34 18 13 3 60:23 67
5 Lealtad 34 16 10 8 56:31 58
6 CD Mosconia 34 16 10 8 45:31 58
7 L Entregu CF 34 14 9 11 44:44 51
8 Praviano 34 10 14 10 32:36 44
9 CD Colunga 34 10 11 13 45:43 41
10 Tuilla 34 11 7 16 31:41 40
11 Aviles Stadium 34 10 8 16 28:63 38
12 Union Club Ceares 34 9 11 14 36:44 38
13 Real Titanico 34 10 6 18 38:56 36
14 EI San Martin 34 6 14 14 23:36 32
15 Lenense 34 8 8 18 30:63 32
16 Basico Urraca 34 5 12 17 35:56 27
17 Condal 34 6 8 20 20:59 26
18 CD Roces 34 1 6 27 16:75 9
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 (Play Offs)