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Tuilla vs Candas CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013 game between Tuilla and Candas CF finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tuilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Tuilla
30%
Draws
47%
Candas CF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Candas CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tuilla come out ahead of Candas CF on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tuilla a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tuilla Clean Sheet 16%
Candas CF Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuilla Candas CF
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.94 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Candas CF
0:1
Dec 21, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Candas CF vs Tuilla
2:1
Mar 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Candas CF
4:1
Oct 21, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Candas CF vs Tuilla
3:1
May 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Candas CF vs Tuilla
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuilla 36 / 100
Candas CF 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuilla Candas CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuilla's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Candas CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Tuilla went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tuilla VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuilla

(Home)
10 May
Tuilla
1 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
03 May
Llanera
4 : 0
Tuilla
26 Apr
Club Siero
1 : 0
Tuilla
19 Apr
Tuilla
4 : 0
Real Titanico
12 Apr
Navarro
1 : 1
Tuilla
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Candas CF

(Away)
11 May
Tuilla
0 : 1
Candas CF
04 May
Candas CF
0 : 0
Gijon Industrial
26 Apr
Universidad Oviedo
2 : 0
Candas CF
20 Apr
Candas CF
1 : 1
Andes CF
13 Apr
Real Aviles B
0 : 1
Candas CF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuilla 38 25 6 7 70:35 81
2 Universidad Oviedo 38 22 9 7 59:28 75
3 Covadonga 38 21 9 8 58:30 72
4 Langreo 38 20 11 7 54:22 71
5 Real Oviedo B 38 17 10 11 51:47 61
6 Lealtad 38 15 11 12 52:42 56
7 L Entregu CF 38 13 15 10 42:39 54
8 Condal 38 15 9 14 48:42 54
9 Cudillero 38 13 14 11 46:40 53
10 Luarca 38 13 12 13 42:43 51
11 Praviano 38 13 11 14 37:50 50
12 Union Club Ceares 38 13 9 16 43:48 48
13 Basico Urraca 38 11 12 15 55:57 45
14 Real Tapia 38 11 10 17 34:43 43
15 Gijon Industrial 38 10 13 15 35:42 43
16 Candas CF 38 11 9 18 37:56 42
17 Atletico de Lugones 38 10 12 16 42:52 42
18 Llanes 38 8 18 12 36:45 42
19 Navia 38 5 13 20 35:73 28
20 Navarro 38 3 9 26 27:69 18
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)