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Tuilla vs Caudal Deportivo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Monasterio M.
13' Event
Boza D.
23' Event
Acerete C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Tuilla and Caudal Deportivo finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caudal Deportivo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tuilla
39%
Draws
30%
Caudal Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Caudal Deportivo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Caudal Deportivo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Tuilla Clean Sheet 11%
Caudal Deportivo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuilla Caudal Deportivo
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 19
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.57 2
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.57 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Caudal Deportivo
1:3
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Tuilla
6:1
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Tuilla
2:0
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Caudal Deportivo
0:2
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Caudal Deportivo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Monasterio M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.79

Caudal Deportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Boza D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Acerete C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuilla 30 / 100
Caudal Deportivo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuilla Caudal Deportivo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Caudal Deportivo conceded in 82% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Tuilla found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Tuilla remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tuilla VS Caudal Deportivo
1.57 Goals Scored 2
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 63%
57% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuilla

(Home)
10 May
Tuilla
1 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
03 May
Llanera
4 : 0
Tuilla
26 Apr
Club Siero
1 : 0
Tuilla
19 Apr
Tuilla
4 : 0
Real Titanico
12 Apr
Navarro
1 : 1
Tuilla
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Caudal Deportivo

(Away)
20 Jun
Caudal Deportivo
1 : 1
Atletico Central
14 Jun
Atletico Central
2 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
07 Jun
Covadonga
2 : 4
Caudal Deportivo
31 May
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1
Covadonga
24 May
Gijon B
1 : 2
Caudal Deportivo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llanera34294171:1891
2Covadonga34255488:2480
3Gijon B341910579:2967
4Caudal Deportivo34206859:3966
5CD Mosconia341671146:2955
6EI San Martin341491136:3651
7L Entregu CF3413101141:4249
8Union Club Ceares341291339:4045
9Praviano341191436:4242
10Club Siero341181539:4941
11CD Colunga341091538:5939
12Llanes348131344:5137
13Aviles Stadium346151321:4033
14Gijon Industrial347111636:5732
15Lenense347111636:5832
16Navarro346131538:5331
17Tuilla34762131:6027
18Real Titanico34392222:7418
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)