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Tuilla vs Caudal Deportivo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Monasterio M.
13' Event
Boza D.
23' Event
Acerete C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Tuilla and Caudal Deportivo finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caudal Deportivo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tuilla
20%
Draws
51%
Caudal Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caudal Deportivo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Caudal Deportivo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tuilla's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Caudal Deportivo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tuilla Clean Sheet 10%
Caudal Deportivo Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuilla Caudal Deportivo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 18
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.73 2.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Caudal Deportivo
1:3
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Tuilla
6:1
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Tuilla
2:0
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Caudal Deportivo
0:2
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Caudal Deportivo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Monasterio M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.56
Avg xA / game 0.36

Caudal Deportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Boza D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Acerete C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.89
Avg xA / game 1.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuilla 40 / 100
Caudal Deportivo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuilla Caudal Deportivo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Tuilla's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Caudal Deportivo conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Tuilla remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tuilla VS Caudal Deportivo
0.33 Goals Scored 1.5
2.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuilla

(Home)
10 May
Tuilla
1 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
03 May
Llanera
4 : 0
Tuilla
26 Apr
Club Siero
1 : 0
Tuilla
19 Apr
Tuilla
4 : 0
Real Titanico
12 Apr
Navarro
1 : 1
Tuilla
Page 1 of 6

Caudal Deportivo

(Away)
04 Oct
Praviano
1 : 1
Caudal Deportivo
26 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 0
L Entregu CF
20 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
13 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1
Union Club Ceares
09 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 2
Caudal Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)