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Tukums 2000 2 vs AFA Olaine

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Nakotnes liga 2025 Tukuma mākslīgā laukumā stadions, Tukums
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Match Events

2' Event
Kholod A.
Assist: Putrans D.
5' Event
Kholod A.
15' Event
Putrans D.

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga 2025 game between Tukums 2000 2 and AFA Olaine finished 8-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tukums 2000 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Tukums 2000 2
15%
Draws
59%
AFA Olaine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFA Olaine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • AFA Olaine haven't matched Tukums 2000 2's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Nakotnes liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tukums 2000 2 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Tukums 2000 2 Clean Sheet 13%
AFA Olaine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tukums 2000 2 AFA Olaine
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.63 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.75 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2025 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs AFA Olaine
8:1
Apr 14, 2025 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs Tukums 2000 2
0:1
Oct 9, 2024 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs Tukums 2000 2
2:2
Apr 19, 2024 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs AFA Olaine
2:0
Sep 2, 2023 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs AFA Olaine
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tukums 2000 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kholod A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Putrans D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

AFA Olaine Compare

Top Goalscorer Cernovs K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tukums 2000 2 31 / 100
AFA Olaine 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tukums 2000 2 AFA Olaine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tukums 2000 2 scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

AFA Olaine let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Tukums 2000 2 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tukums 2000 2 VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tukums 2000 2

(Home)
19 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
3 : 1
Rezekne
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
30 Aug
Skanste
6 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
09 Aug
Riga Mariners
4 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
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AFA Olaine

(Away)
08 Nov
Rezekne
3 : 4
AFA Olaine
01 Nov
AFA Olaine
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
25 Oct
Marupe
5 : 1
AFA Olaine
18 Oct
AFA Olaine
3 : 0
Skanste
04 Oct
Riga FC 2
7 : 2
AFA Olaine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ogre United 26 18 4 4 66:20 58
2 Alberts JDFS 26 17 7 2 60:24 58
3 Riga Mariners 26 18 4 4 74:34 58
4 JFK Ventspils 26 11 10 5 40:29 43
5 RFS 2 26 11 8 7 46:31 41
6 Skanste 26 11 7 8 36:39 40
7 Leevon PPK 26 10 6 10 40:40 36
8 Marupe 26 10 2 14 30:33 32
9 Rezekne 26 8 7 11 36:57 31
10 FK Smiltene 26 8 4 14 46:48 28
11 Riga FC 2 26 6 6 14 35:43 24
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 7 2 17 37:60 23
13 AFA Olaine 26 6 4 16 39:88 22
14 Augsdaugavas 26 3 5 18 19:58 14
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