Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tukums 2000 2 vs Marupe

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Minasyan A.
40' Event
Speks R.
Assist: Penka R.
87' Event
Calbergs D.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between Tukums 2000 2 and Marupe finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Tukums 2000 2
15%
Draws
73%
Marupe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marupe come out ahead of Tukums 2000 2 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Marupe's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Marupe have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Tukums 2000 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Marupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tukums 2000 2 Marupe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 4 2
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.31 1.59
Goals Conceded 3.07 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 1. Liga
Marupe vs Tukums 2000 2
5:0
May 9, 2026 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs Marupe
1:2
Jul 27, 2025 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs Marupe
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 1. Liga
Marupe vs Tukums 2000 2
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 1. Liga
Marupe vs Tukums 2000 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tukums 2000 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Calbergs D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Minasyan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Speks R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tukums 2000 2 10 / 100
Marupe 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tukums 2000 2 Marupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marupe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tukums 2000 2's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Marupe conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Marupe lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tukums 2000 2 VS Marupe
0.88 Goals Scored 1
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tukums 2000 2

(Home)
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
30 Aug
Skanste
6 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
09 Aug
Riga Mariners
4 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
03 Aug
Tukums 2000 2
1 : 1
Alberts JDFS
Page 1 of 6

Marupe

(Away)
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
08 Aug
Marupe
0 : 1
Leevon PPK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 20 16 3 1 58:19 51
2 FK Metta 20 16 3 1 86:16 51
3 Leevon PPK 20 14 4 2 37:22 46
4 Riga Mariners 20 13 5 2 46:21 44
5 Alberts JDFS 20 11 4 5 41:28 37
6 Marupe 20 9 1 10 34:32 28
7 Skanste 20 8 2 10 43:41 26
8 Riga FC 2 20 7 4 9 29:37 25
9 Super Nova 2 20 6 7 7 28:30 25
10 RFS 2 20 4 3 13 31:56 15
11 FK Smiltene 20 3 4 13 27:57 13
12 JFK Ventspils 19 2 6 11 20:40 12
13 Tukums 2000 2 19 3 3 13 23:59 12
14 Rezekne 20 1 3 16 16:61 6
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