Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tukums 2000 2 vs Marupe

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Minasyan A.
40' Event
Speks R.
Assist: Penka R.
87' Event
Calbergs D.

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga game between Tukums 2000 2 and Marupe finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tukums 2000 2
6%
Draws
90%
Marupe
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Marupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marupe come out ahead of Tukums 2000 2 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Marupe's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Marupe have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tukums 2000 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Marupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tukums 2000 2 Marupe
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 14
Draws 3 2
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs Marupe
1:2
Jul 27, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs Marupe
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Marupe vs Tukums 2000 2
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Marupe vs Tukums 2000 2
2:1
May 5, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs Marupe
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tukums 2000 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Calbergs D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Minasyan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Speks R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tukums 2000 2 10 / 100
Marupe 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tukums 2000 2 Marupe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tukums 2000 2's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Marupe conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Marupe lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tukums 2000 2 VS Marupe
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Metta12101142:1131
2Valmiera1292132:1229
3Riga Mariners1284025:1028
4Leevon PPK1273220:1524
5Alberts JDFS1262425:2020
6Marupe1261522:1519
7Super Nova 21254319:1719
8Riga FC 21251619:2216
9Skanste1241720:2413
10JFK Ventspils1224615:2010
11RFS 21223715:269
12Tukums 2000 21222816:318
13Rezekne1212910:365
14FK Smiltene1204812:334