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Tukums 2000 vs FK Ilukste Prediction & H2H Stats

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1. Liga 2012
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AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2012 game between Tukums 2000 and FK Ilukste finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Ilukste.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Tukums 2000
15%
Draws
0%
FK Ilukste
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tukums 2000

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tukums 2000 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tukums 2000's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FK Ilukste have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Tukums 2000 Clean Sheet 11%
FK Ilukste Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tukums 2000 FK Ilukste
Matches Played 38 32
Wins 7 4
Draws 8 6
Losses 23 22
Goals Scored 1.5 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.34 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2012 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 vs FK Ilukste
2:4
Aug 4, 2012 1. Liga
FK Ilukste vs Tukums 2000
13:0
Oct 7, 2007 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 vs FK Ilukste
3:0
Jul 18, 2007 1. Liga
FK Ilukste vs Tukums 2000
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tukums 2000 83 / 100
FK Ilukste 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tukums 2000 FK Ilukste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tukums 2000 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tukums 2000's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

FK Ilukste's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 5.75 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: FK Ilukste registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tukums 2000 VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tukums 2000

(Home)
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1
Ogre United
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
21 Aug
FK Auda Riga
3 : 0
Tukums 2000
Page 1 of 8

FK Ilukste

(Away)
09 Nov
FK Ilukste
2 : 10
FK Liepaja
02 Nov
FC Daugava Daugavpils
6 : 1
FK Ilukste
27 Oct
FK Ilukste
0 : 5
Ventspils
21 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
7 : 1
FK Ilukste
14 Oct
FK Ilukste
1 : 7
Ventspils
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liepajas Metalurgs 2 25 21 4 0 92:20 67
2 FK Ilukste 26 18 3 5 87:38 57
3 Skonto 2 26 17 5 4 56:32 56
4 BFC Daugavpils 26 15 7 4 49:20 52
5 RFS 26 16 3 7 62:33 51
6 Ventspils 2 26 15 3 8 57:37 48
7 FK 1625 Liepaja 26 11 7 8 47:45 40
8 Valmiera 26 8 3 15 39:53 27
9 Spartaks Jurmala 2 26 7 5 14 48:71 26
10 Rezekne 25 8 1 16 49:57 25
11 FK Metta 2 26 7 3 16 33:52 24
12 FK Auda Riga 26 6 3 17 36:51 21
13 Tukums 2000 26 4 1 21 28:116 13
14 Jelgava 2 26 3 2 21 29:87 11
Promotion - Virslīga 2013 (Main)
Promotion - Virslīga 2012 (Relegation)