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Tukums 2000 vs New Project

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1. Liga 2019
Tukums 2000 Logo

Tukums 2000

1 - 0
FT
New Project Logo

New Project

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2019 game between Tukums 2000 and New Project finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tukums 2000.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Tukums 2000
15%
Draws
36%
New Project
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tukums 2000

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tukums 2000 come out ahead of New Project on wins alone.
  • New Project are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tukums 2000 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tukums 2000 Clean Sheet 11%
New Project Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tukums 2000 New Project
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 2
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 2.19 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2019 1. Liga
New Project vs Tukums 2000
0:4
Jul 6, 2019 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 vs New Project
1:0
Apr 13, 2019 1. Liga
New Project vs Tukums 2000
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tukums 2000 14 / 100
New Project 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tukums 2000 New Project

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Project Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tukums 2000 scored in 86% of their last 36 outings.

New Project has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: New Project registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tukums 2000 VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tukums 2000

(Home)
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1
Ogre United
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
21 Aug
FK Auda Riga
3 : 0
Tukums 2000
Page 1 of 8

New Project

(Away)
10 Nov
New Project
0 : 3
Dinamo Riga
02 Nov
FK Smiltene
3 : 0
New Project
27 Oct
New Project
0 : 1
Rezekne
19 Oct
FK Auda Riga
2 : 1
New Project
12 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 2
New Project
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tukums 2000 27 24 2 1 112:14 74
2 Super Nova 27 19 1 7 95:27 58
3 FK Smiltene 27 17 2 8 78:52 53
4 Alberts JDFS 27 16 3 8 70:47 51
5 FK Auda Riga 27 14 3 10 62:51 45
6 Rezekne 27 13 4 10 72:56 43
7 Grobina 27 10 0 17 56:104 30
8 New Project 27 6 2 19 35:62 20
9 Dinamo Riga 27 6 1 20 39:78 19
10 Balvu SC 27 1 0 26 23:151 3
Promotion - Optibet Virsliga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - Optibet Virsliga 2019 (Relegation)