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Stadium Background

Tulevik vs Narva U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Geveller D.
17' Event
Jegorov A.
33' Event
Tikut H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Tulevik
15%
Draws
53%
Narva U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Narva U21 lately — more wins on the board than Tulevik.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Tulevik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tulevik Clean Sheet 10%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tulevik Narva U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 20
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 2.38 2.45
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Narva U21
3:3
Jul 5, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tulevik
2:1
Apr 19, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Narva U21
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tulevik
4:2
Jul 21, 2024 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Narva U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tulevik Compare

Top Goalscorer Tikut H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Levit E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Narva U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Geveller D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jegorov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tulevik 47 / 100
Narva U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tulevik Narva U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tulevik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tulevik scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Narva U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Tulevik remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tulevik VS Narva U21
2.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tulevik

(Home)
03 Oct
Tulevik
1 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
26 Sept
Tulevik
6 : 1
Tartu Kalev
15 Sept
Levadia U19
3 : 5
Tulevik
10 Sept
Tammeka Tartu U21
3 : 2
Tulevik
05 Sept
Tulevik
3 : 0
Legion
Page 1 of 6

Narva U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Narva U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
15 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
11 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Levadia U19
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 31 19 2 10 78:52 59
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 31 14 5 12 81:64 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 31 3 3 25 26:116 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)