Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tulevik vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Tulevik Logo

Tulevik

5 - 3
FT
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Logo

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Vidder G.
32' Event
Smirnov S.
43' Event
Matlik J. L.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tulevik in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tulevik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Tulevik
15%
Draws
42%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tulevik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Parnu JK Vaprus U21 lately — more wins on the board than Tulevik.
  • Model gives Parnu JK Vaprus U21 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
  • Tulevik have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Tulevik Clean Sheet 10%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tulevik Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 2.38 3.21
Goals Conceded 2.28 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tulevik
2:2
May 28, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
3:1
Apr 23, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tulevik Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidder G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saag K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Smirnov S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kolvart S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tulevik 18 / 100
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tulevik Parnu JK Vaprus U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tulevik scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.33 goals per match.

Tulevik went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tulevik VS Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2.88 Goals Scored 3
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Tulevik

(Home)
03 Oct
Tulevik
1 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
26 Sept
Tulevik
6 : 1
Tartu Kalev
15 Sept
Levadia U19
3 : 5
Tulevik
10 Sept
Tammeka Tartu U21
3 : 2
Tulevik
05 Sept
Tulevik
3 : 0
Legion
Page 1 of 6

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
30 Aug
Legion
1 : 5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 31 19 2 10 78:52 59
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 31 14 5 12 81:64 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 31 3 3 25 26:116 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)