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Tulevik vs Tartu Kalev Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Villems M.
(Penalty)
70' Event
Tenno S.
85' Event
Kansi K.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Tartu Kalev in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tartu Kalev.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tulevik
15%
Draws
34%
Tartu Kalev
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tulevik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tartu Kalev lately — more wins on the board than Tulevik.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Tulevik taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Tulevik Clean Sheet 11%
Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tulevik Tartu Kalev
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 16
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.41 2.52
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Tartu Kalev
6:1
Aug 8, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tulevik
4:2
Jun 13, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tulevik
3:4
Apr 3, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Tartu Kalev
1:3
Oct 6, 2024 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Tartu Kalev
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tulevik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Tartu Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Tenno S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tulevik 83 / 100
Tartu Kalev 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tulevik Tartu Kalev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tulevik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tulevik scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.40 goals per match.

Tartu Kalev has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Tulevik went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tulevik VS Tartu Kalev
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tulevik

(Home)
26 Sept
Tulevik
6 : 1
Tartu Kalev
15 Sept
Levadia U19
3 : 5
Tulevik
10 Sept
Tammeka Tartu U21
3 : 2
Tulevik
05 Sept
Tulevik
3 : 0
Legion
30 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
2 : 1
Tulevik
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Tartu Kalev

(Away)
26 Sept
Tulevik
6 : 1
Tartu Kalev
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Tartu Kalev
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 30 18 2 10 75:52 56
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 30 14 5 11 80:61 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 30 7 5 18 60:77 26
10 Legion 30 3 3 24 26:113 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)