Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2019/2020

Tullycarnet

4 - 3

Armagh

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tullycarnet in this Irish Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%

Tullycarnet

20%

Draws

15%

Armagh

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tullycarnet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence

Armagh haven't matched Tullycarnet's recent run of results.
Tullycarnet are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Tullycarnet have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Tullycarnet, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Tullycarnet Clean Sheet 20%

Armagh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tullycarnet	Armagh
Matches Played	7	31
Wins	5	1
Draws	0	6
Losses	2	24
Goals Scored	2.43	0.61
Goals Conceded	2.57	3.16
Expected Goals (xG)	2.17	0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2019 Irish Cup

Tullycarnet vs Armagh

4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tullycarnet 40 / 100

Armagh 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tullycarnet Armagh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tullycarnet Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tullycarnet's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Defensive concern: Armagh conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tullycarnet remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Armagh

0 Goals Scored 0.38

0 Goals Conceded 3.13

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tullycarnet

(Home)

30 Nov

Dollingstown

6 : 0

Tullycarnet

02 Nov

Tullycarnet

4 : 3

Armagh

28 Sept

Maiden City

1 : 3

Tullycarnet

01 Dec

Tullycarnet

3 : 4

Abbey Villa

03 Nov

Fivemiletown

1 : 2

Tullycarnet

Page 1 of 2

Armagh

(Away)

22 Aug

Armagh

2 : 2

Glenavon

15 Aug

Harland & Wolff

1 : 0

Armagh

11 Aug

Warrenpoint

2 : 0

Armagh

08 Aug

Armagh

1 : 1

Queens University

10 Jul

Armagh

0 : 1

Cliftonville

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Dergview -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Dollingstown -

TBD -

Lower Maze -

Lisburn Distillery -

TBD -

Ballynahinch United -

Strabane Athletic -

Maiden City 3

Bourneview Mill 2

TBD -

Tullycarnet -

Armagh 7

Bangor Old Boys 0

Tullyvallen Rangers 2

Dunloy 3

Warrenpoint -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Tandragee -

TBD -

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -

Comber Rec 2

Bangor Amateurs FC 0

Dromara 3

Coagh Utd 6

Crumlin Star 8

Kilmore Rec 0

Desertmartin 1

Trojans 3

Greenisland -

TBD -

Bloomfield 1

Foundry 3

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Larne -

TBD -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Dromore Amateurs 1

Belfast Celtic 9

Woodvale 5

Windmill 1

Derriaghy 1

Annagh 4

Tobermore -

TBD -

Barn 0

Oxford Sunnyside 3

Suffolk 3

St Luke's 0

TBD -

Larne Technical Old Boys -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Newcastle 4

Grove 2

Dungiven 1

Banbridge 2

Dunmurry Rec 3

Rosemount Rec 2

Holywood 1

Newbuildings 4

Lurgan Town Boys 3

Iveagh Utd 1

Abbey Villa 1

St. James' Swifts 4

Ballymacash 3

St Oliver Plunkett 2

TBD -

Dunmurry Y.M. -

Ballymoney -

TBD -

St. Marys 1

East Belfast 3

Newtowne FC -

Drumaness -

Newington FC 5

Cookstown Youth 0

Ardstraw 3

Fivemiletown 2

Ards Rangers 1

Wakehurst 3

Islandmagee -

TBD -

Shorts -

Institute -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Newry City -

TBD -

Limavady 3

Ballynure Old Boys 0

TBD -

Immaculata -

Aquinas -

TBD -

Seapatrick 0

Craigavon City 5

Banbridge Rangers 2

Saintfield 0

Ballynahinch Olympic 2

Bangor FC 3

Moneyslane FC 2

Malachians 1

Markethill 1

Mossley FC 4

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Glebe 3

Cookstown RBL 2

Laurelvale 1

Chimney 5

Richhill -

Ballywalter Recreation -

TBD -

Valley Rangers -

Hanover -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Oxford Stars -

Killyleagh Youth 1

Rosario Youth 0

Rectory Rangers 0

Downshire Y.M. 2

Loughgall -

TBD -

Brantwood -

TBD -

Colin Valley 0

Moyola 11

Crewe -

Donegal -

Bryansburn 1

Crumlin United 3

Shankill -

TBD -

Lisburn Rangers -

Rathfriland Rangers -

TBD -

Sirocco 2

Seagoe 3

Queens University -

TBD -

Linfield -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Portadown -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Dundela -

1/128-finals

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Dergview -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Dollingstown 5

Lower Maze 0

Lisburn Distillery 3

Strabane Athletic 2

Maiden City 1

Tullycarnet 3

Armagh 2

Dunloy 1

Warrenpoint -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Tandragee 5

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 7

Comber Rec 2

Coagh Utd 4

Crumlin Star -

Trojans -

Greenisland 2

Foundry 0

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Larne -

TBD -

Portstewart 0

Belfast Celtic 1

Woodvale 1

Annagh 7

Tobermore 7

Oxford Sunnyside 1

Suffolk 1

Larne Technical Old Boys 4

Glenavon -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Newcastle 0

Banbridge 5

Dunmurry Rec 3

Newbuildings 2

Lurgan Town Boys 0

St. James' Swifts 4

Ballymacash 2

Dunmurry Y.M. 1

Ballymoney 2

East Belfast 3

Newtowne FC 0

Newington FC 2

Ardstraw 4

Wakehurst 1

Islandmagee 5

Shorts 2

Institute -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Newry City -

TBD -

Limavady 2

Immaculata 0

Aquinas 2

Craigavon City 1

Banbridge Rangers 0

Bangor FC 3

Moneyslane FC 9

Mossley FC 0

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Glebe 1

Chimney 2

Richhill 0

Valley Rangers 3

Hanover -

Oxford Stars -

Killyleagh Youth 1

Downshire Y.M. 0

Loughgall -

TBD -

Brantwood 4

Moyola 3

Crewe 3

Crumlin United 4

Shankill 1

Lisburn Rangers 4

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Seagoe 2

Queens University -

TBD -

Linfield -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Portadown -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Dundela -

1/64-finals

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Dergview -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Dollingstown 2

Lisburn Distillery 1

Tullycarnet 4

Armagh 3

Warrenpoint -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ballymena -

TBD -

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2

Coagh Utd 3

Crumlin Star 1

Greenisland 0

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Larne -

TBD -

Belfast Celtic 3

Annagh 1

Tobermore 1

Larne Technical Old Boys 3

Glenavon -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Banbridge 2

Dunmurry Rec 1

St. James' Swifts 0

Ballymacash 4

East Belfast 3

Newington FC 0

Ardstraw 1

Islandmagee 2

Institute -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Newry City -

TBD -

Limavady 3

Aquinas 0

Bangor FC 5

Moneyslane FC 1

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Chimney 0

Valley Rangers 3

Hanover 3

Killyleagh Youth 2

Loughgall -

TBD -

Brantwood 1

Crumlin United 0

Lisburn Rangers 0

Rathfriland Rangers 3

Queens University -

TBD -

Linfield -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Portadown -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Dundela -

1/32-finals

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Dergview -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Dollingstown 6

Tullycarnet 0

Warrenpoint -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Coagh Utd 0

Crumlin Star 1

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Larne -

TBD -

Belfast Celtic 2

Larne Technical Old Boys 1

Glenavon -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Banbridge 3

Ballymacash 2

East Belfast 7

Islandmagee 1

Institute -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Newry City -

TBD -

Limavady 1

Bangor FC 3

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Valley Rangers 1

Hanover 5

Loughgall -

TBD -

Brantwood 2

Rathfriland Rangers 5

Queens University -

TBD -

Linfield -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Portadown -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Dundela -

1/16-finals

Knockbreda 3

Dergview 2

Ballinamallard 1

Dollingstown 0

Warrenpoint 3

PSNI 1

Ballymena 2

Crumlin Star 0

Ballyclare 2

Harland & Wolff 1

Larne 8

Belfast Celtic 0

Glenavon 0

Coleraine 2

Banbridge 3

East Belfast 2

Institute 2

Dungannon 3

Newry City 3

Bangor FC 1

Cliftonville 6

Hanover 0

Loughgall 1

Rathfriland Rangers 2

Queens University 2

Linfield 1

Glentoran 3

Portadown 2

Ards 1

Carrick Rangers 3

Crusaders 3

Dundela 0

1/8-finals

Knockbreda 2

Ballinamallard 5

Warrenpoint 1

Ballymena 2

Ballyclare 0

Larne 1

Coleraine 3

Banbridge 0

Dungannon 4

Newry City 2

Cliftonville 3

Rathfriland Rangers 1

Queens University 2

Glentoran 3

Carrick Rangers 1

Crusaders 5

Quarter-finals

Ballinamallard 0

Ballymena 2

Larne 2

Coleraine 3

Dungannon 1

Cliftonville 2

Glentoran 2

Crusaders 1

Semi-finals

Ballymena 2

Coleraine 1

Cliftonville 1

Glentoran 2

Final

Ballymena 1

Glentoran 2

Tullycarnet vs Armagh

Northern Ireland

Tullycarnet

Armagh

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Tullycarnet

Armagh

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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