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Tuloy vs Don Bosco Garelli

Philippines Philippines

PFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Yamaguchi Y.
32' Event
Yamaguchi Y.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Lupango J.

AI Match Summary

The PFL 2025/2026 game between Tuloy and Don Bosco Garelli finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Don Bosco Garelli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Tuloy
20%
Draws
47%
Don Bosco Garelli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Don Bosco Garelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Don Bosco Garelli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Don Bosco Garelli taking it.
  • Regular PFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tuloy Clean Sheet 10%
Don Bosco Garelli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuloy Don Bosco Garelli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 3 1
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 1.8 1.9
Goals Conceded 4.93 4.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 PFL
Tuloy vs Don Bosco Garelli
2:4
Apr 18, 2026 PFL
Don Bosco Garelli vs Tuloy
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 PFL
Tuloy vs Don Bosco Garelli
3:0
May 11, 2024 PFL
Don Bosco Garelli vs Tuloy
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuloy Compare

Top Goalscorer Lupango J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toves M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Don Bosco Garelli Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamaguchi Y.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuloy 10 / 100
Don Bosco Garelli 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuloy Don Bosco Garelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Don Bosco Garelli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Don Bosco Garelli has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Tuloy scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Tuloy stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tuloy VS Don Bosco Garelli
1.38 Goals Scored 3.88
5.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuloy

(Home)
20 Sept
Philippine Army
3 : 4
Tuloy
12 Sept
Tuloy
0 : 3
Kaya FC
06 Sept
Maharlika Manila
4 : 2
Tuloy
24 May
Mendiola FC 1991
1 : 4
Tuloy
20 May
Tuloy
1 : 1
Maharlika Manila
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Don Bosco Garelli

(Away)
24 May
Maharlika Manila
3 : 2
Don Bosco Garelli
20 May
Don Bosco Garelli
8 : 1
Philippine Army
10 May
Tuloy
2 : 4
Don Bosco Garelli
06 May
Don Bosco Garelli
3 : 3
Mendiola FC 1991
25 Apr
Don Bosco Garelli
9 : 1
Philippine Army
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