Sport Picks

USA

US Open Cup 2025

FC Tulsa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tulsa Athletic play FC Tulsa in the US Open Cup 2025. FC Tulsa are favorites here. Recently, Tulsa Athletic averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. FC Tulsa averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Tulsa Athletic won 1, FC Tulsa won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 19, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Tulsa Athletic and 1.18 for FC Tulsa. This points to a FC Tulsa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Tulsa Athletic

15%

Draws

57%

FC Tulsa

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Tulsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Tulsa Athletic picked up more points recently compared to FC Tulsa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.18 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Tulsa Athletic Clean Sheet 20%

FC Tulsa Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tulsa Athletic	FC Tulsa
Matches Played	10	35
Wins	3	18
Draws	0	7
Losses	7	10
Goals Scored	0.9	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.7	1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2025 US Open Cup

Tulsa Athletic vs FC Tulsa

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Apr 6, 2023 US Open Cup

Tulsa Athletic vs FC Tulsa

Possession: 56% - 49% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Apr 6, 2022 US Open Cup

FC Tulsa vs Tulsa Athletic

Possession: 41% - 59% Cards: 2 - 0

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tulsa Athletic 29 / 100

FC Tulsa 54 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tulsa Athletic FC Tulsa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Tulsa Win (2)

Secondary Pick FC Tulsa & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tulsa Athletic attacking → ← attacking FC Tulsa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tulsa Athletic scored in 70% of their last 10 games.

FC Tulsa let in goals in 54% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Tulsa Athletic went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Tulsa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 61

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38