Sport Picks
Tuna Luso vs Aguia De Maraba
Brazil
Serie D Estádio Francisco Vasques, Belem 
Match Events
25'
25'
Lua Niger
(Penalty)
45'
45'
Dede
Own Goal
90'
90'
Silva A.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D game between Tuna Luso and Aguia De Maraba finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tuna Luso.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Aguia De Maraba come out ahead of Tuna Luso on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Tuna Luso Clean Sheet 10%
Aguia De Maraba Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tuna Luso | Aguia De Maraba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Serie D
Tuna Luso vs Aguia De Maraba
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Serie D
Aguia De Maraba vs Tuna Luso
2:0
Feb 1, 2026 Paraense
Tuna Luso vs Aguia De Maraba
0:2
Jun 29, 2025 Serie D
Tuna Luso vs Aguia De Maraba
2:0
May 17, 2025 Serie D
Aguia De Maraba vs Tuna Luso
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tuna Luso Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Aguia De Maraba Compare
Top Goalscorer Silva A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tuna Luso 30 / 100
Aguia De Maraba 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tuna Luso Aguia De Maraba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tuna Luso scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Aguia De Maraba has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Tuna Luso went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tuna Luso VS Aguia De Maraba
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tuna Luso
(Home) 27 Jun
Iguatu
1 : 1 Tuna Luso
21 Jun
Tuna Luso
1 : 2 Iguatu
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0 Tuna Luso
31 May
Tuna Luso
1 : 0 Trem
24 May
Oratorio
3 : 3 Tuna Luso
Page 1 of 6
21 Jun
Tuna Luso
1 : 2 Iguatu
31 May
Tuna Luso
1 : 0 Trem
17 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 1 Aguia De Maraba
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3 Tocantinopolis
19 Apr
Tuna Luso
2 : 0 Oratorio
Page 1 of 4
Aguia De Maraba
(Away) 12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1 ABC
27 Jun
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0 Parnahyba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1 Aguia De Maraba
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 7
12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1 Aguia De Maraba
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
23 May
Imperatriz
0 : 3 Aguia De Maraba
17 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 1 Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manauara | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 13:5 | 22 |
| 2 | Nacional-AM (Manaus) | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Raimundo RR | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Monte Roraima | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Manaus FC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 6 | Gremio Atletico Sampaio | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guapore | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 19:9 | 22 |
| 2 | Porto Velho | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 33:9 | 18 |
| 3 | Araguaina | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 31:9 | 18 |
| 4 | Independencia Futebol Clube | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 5 | Galvez | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:31 | 10 |
| 6 | SC Humaita | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:50 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gama | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 23:6 | 26 |
| 2 | Luverdense | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 3 | Brasiliense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 4 | Aparecidense | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 5 | Primavera AC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 6 | Inhumas | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3:20 | 1 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Capital | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Goiatuba EC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Ceilandia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Mixto | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:9 | 12 |
| 5 | Uniao Rondonopolis | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:18 | 9 |
| 6 | Operario VG | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:16 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trem | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:13 | 20 |
| 2 | Aguia De Maraba | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:11 | 18 |
| 3 | Imperatriz | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 4 | Tuna Luso | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 5 | Tocantinopolis | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18:18 | 12 |
| 6 | Oratorio | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12:29 | 4 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iguatu | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Maracana | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 12:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Parnahyba | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Sampaio Correa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Moto Club | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 6 | IAPE | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10:20 | 4 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferroviario | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Piaui | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 3 | Fluminense-PI | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 4 | AE Altos | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 5 | Tirol | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Atletico Cearense | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6:14 | 7 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ABC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 23 |
| 2 | America RN | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14:3 | 21 |
| 3 | Maguary | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:5 | 13 |
| 4 | Central SC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Sousa | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4:11 | 10 |
| 6 | Laguna RN | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Treze PB | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 2 | Sergipe | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | 15 |
| 3 | Serra Branca | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Lagarto | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:15 | 13 |
| 5 | Retro | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Decisao | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 10)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSA | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Juazeirense | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | 17 |
| 3 | ASA | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Jacuipense | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:14 | 13 |
| 5 | Clube Sociedade Esportiva | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 6 | Alagoinhas | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5:20 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 11)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uberlandia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Betim FC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 15 |
| 3 | CRAC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Ivinhema | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:12 | 13 |
| 5 | ABECAT Ouvidorense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8:9 | 12 |
| 6 | Operario MS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:12 | 9 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 12)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Democrata GV | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 2 | Tombense | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Vitoria ES | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Rio Branco ES | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 13 |
| 5 | Porto-BA | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:21 | 10 |
| 6 | Real Noroeste | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6:11 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 13)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portuguesa | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:6 | 21 |
| 2 | Agua Santa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:8 | 17 |
| 3 | Portuguesa RJ | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 4 | America RJ | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:21 | 12 |
| 5 | Madureira | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | 11 |
| 6 | Pouso Alegre | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:14 | 7 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 14)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piracicaba | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 2 | Noroeste | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Velo Clube | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Sampaio Correa FE | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8:10 | 12 |
| 5 | Nova Iguacu | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Marica | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 11 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 15)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Catarina | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Cianorte | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9:8 | 16 |
| 3 | FC Cascavel | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:4 | 15 |
| 4 | Sao Luiz | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Joinville | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:8 | 15 |
| 6 | Guarany de Bage | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2:18 | 4 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 16)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blumenau | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 2 | Marcilio Dias | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Sao Joseense | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3:4 | 13 |
| 4 | EC Sao Jose (PA) | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | 13 |
| 5 | Brasil de Pelotas | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 6 | Azuriz | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:11 | 9 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)