Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tuna Luso vs Oratorio

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Estádio Francisco Vasques, Belem
Tuna Luso Logo

Tuna Luso

2 - 0
FT
Oratorio Logo

Oratorio

Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Daniel GTA
90' Event
Alves J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D game between Tuna Luso and Oratorio finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tuna Luso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Tuna Luso
30%
Draws
12%
Oratorio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tuna Luso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Oratorio haven't matched Tuna Luso's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tuna Luso a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tuna Luso Clean Sheet 16%
Oratorio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuna Luso Oratorio
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.47 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Serie D
Oratorio vs Tuna Luso
3:3
Apr 19, 2026 Serie D
Tuna Luso vs Oratorio
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuna Luso Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel GTA
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alves J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Oratorio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuna Luso 84 / 100
Oratorio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuna Luso Oratorio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuna Luso's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Oratorio conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Tuna Luso remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tuna Luso VS Oratorio
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuna Luso

(Home)
27 Jun
Iguatu
1 : 1
Tuna Luso
21 Jun
Tuna Luso
1 : 2
Iguatu
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0
Tuna Luso
31 May
Tuna Luso
1 : 0
Trem
24 May
Oratorio
3 : 3
Tuna Luso
Page 1 of 7

Oratorio

(Away)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
31 May
Oratorio
0 : 1
Imperatriz
24 May
Oratorio
3 : 3
Tuna Luso
17 May
Trem
4 : 2
Oratorio
10 May
Aguia De Maraba
5 : 1
Oratorio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manauara 10 6 4 0 13:5 22
2 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 10 6 2 2 15:9 20
3 Sao Raimundo RR 10 3 4 3 10:7 13
4 Monte Roraima 10 2 4 4 11:14 10
5 Manaus FC 10 2 4 4 8:13 10
6 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 10 1 2 7 8:17 5
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guapore 10 6 4 0 19:9 22
2 Porto Velho 10 5 3 2 33:9 18
3 Araguaina 10 5 3 2 31:9 18
4 Independencia Futebol Clube 10 4 3 3 17:10 15
5 Galvez 10 3 1 6 14:31 10
6 SC Humaita 10 0 0 10 4:50 0
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 10 8 2 0 23:6 26
2 Luverdense 10 4 3 3 11:10 15
3 Brasiliense 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
4 Aparecidense 10 3 4 3 13:12 13
5 Primavera AC 10 3 3 4 10:13 12
6 Inhumas 10 0 1 9 3:20 1
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capital 10 7 2 1 16:6 23
2 Goiatuba EC 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Ceilandia 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
4 Mixto 10 2 6 2 10:9 12
5 Uniao Rondonopolis 10 2 3 5 11:18 9
6 Operario VG 10 1 2 7 7:16 5
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trem 10 6 2 2 19:13 20
2 Aguia De Maraba 10 5 3 2 20:11 18
3 Imperatriz 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
4 Tuna Luso 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
5 Tocantinopolis 10 3 3 4 18:18 12
6 Oratorio 10 1 1 8 12:29 4
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iguatu 10 5 5 0 14:7 20
2 Maracana 10 5 4 1 12:6 19
3 Parnahyba 10 4 2 4 11:13 14
4 Sampaio Correa 10 3 4 3 12:6 13
5 Moto Club 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
6 IAPE 10 0 4 6 10:20 4
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviario 10 6 3 1 15:7 21
2 Piaui 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
3 Fluminense-PI 10 3 5 2 12:9 14
4 AE Altos 10 3 2 5 9:15 11
5 Tirol 10 2 4 4 10:10 10
6 Atletico Cearense 10 1 4 5 6:14 7
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ABC 10 7 2 1 15:6 23
2 America RN 10 6 3 1 14:3 21
3 Maguary 10 3 4 3 8:5 13
4 Central SC 10 3 4 3 8:7 13
5 Sousa 10 3 1 6 4:11 10
6 Laguna RN 10 0 2 8 3:20 2
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treze PB 10 5 2 3 18:14 17
2 Sergipe 10 4 3 3 15:13 15
3 Serra Branca 10 3 6 1 12:8 15
4 Lagarto 10 3 4 3 14:15 13
5 Retro 10 3 3 4 13:15 12
6 Decisao 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSA 10 6 3 1 25:8 21
2 Juazeirense 10 5 2 3 12:9 17
3 ASA 10 4 4 2 11:7 16
4 Jacuipense 10 3 4 3 12:14 13
5 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 10 2 3 5 10:17 9
6 Alagoinhas 10 1 2 7 5:20 5
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberlandia 10 5 3 2 12:8 18
2 Betim FC 10 4 3 3 12:9 15
3 CRAC 10 3 4 3 7:7 13
4 Ivinhema 10 3 4 3 9:12 13
5 ABECAT Ouvidorense 10 3 3 4 8:9 12
6 Operario MS 10 2 3 5 9:12 9
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Democrata GV 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
2 Tombense 10 4 5 1 13:6 17
3 Vitoria ES 10 4 3 3 12:8 15
4 Rio Branco ES 10 3 4 3 14:12 13
5 Porto-BA 10 3 1 6 9:21 10
6 Real Noroeste 10 1 5 4 6:11 8
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa 10 6 3 1 16:6 21
2 Agua Santa 10 5 2 3 16:8 17
3 Portuguesa RJ 10 3 5 2 14:9 14
4 America RJ 10 3 3 4 11:21 12
5 Madureira 10 3 2 5 11:16 11
6 Pouso Alegre 10 2 1 7 6:14 7
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piracicaba 10 4 5 1 14:9 17
2 Noroeste 10 4 3 3 12:7 15
3 Velo Clube 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
4 Sampaio Correa FE 10 3 3 4 8:10 12
5 Nova Iguacu 10 3 3 4 7:10 12
6 Marica 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Catarina 10 6 1 3 15:9 19
2 Cianorte 10 5 1 4 9:8 16
3 FC Cascavel 10 4 3 3 9:4 15
4 Sao Luiz 10 4 3 3 11:9 15
5 Joinville 10 4 3 3 10:8 15
6 Guarany de Bage 10 1 1 8 2:18 4
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blumenau 10 6 1 3 14:8 19
2 Marcilio Dias 10 4 4 2 9:5 16
3 Sao Joseense 10 3 4 3 3:4 13
4 EC Sao Jose (PA) 10 3 4 3 6:8 13
5 Brasil de Pelotas 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
6 Azuriz 10 2 3 5 7:11 9
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)