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Tunisia U17 vs Ethiopia U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 Mohammed VI Football Academy (pitch 11), Salé
Tunisia U17 Logo

Tunisia U17

0 - 1
FT
Ethiopia U17 Logo

Ethiopia U17

Our Tip

Match Events

49'
Ufaysa C.
55'
Jlidi Y.
59'
Sub
Borji A. In: Charrad W.
Out: Borji A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Tunisia U17
20%
Draws
64%
Ethiopia U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ethiopia U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tunisia U17 come out ahead of Ethiopia U17 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Tunisia U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ethiopia U17, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ethiopia U17 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Tunisia U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Ethiopia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tunisia U17 Ethiopia U17
Matches Played 32 16
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 3
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.31 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Tunisia U17 vs Ethiopia U17
0:1
Oct 28, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Tunisia U17 vs Ethiopia U17
5:1
Oct 13, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Ethiopia U17 vs Tunisia U17
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tunisia U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ethiopia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Misbah A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tunisia U17 36 / 100
Ethiopia U17 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tunisia U17 Ethiopia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethiopia U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Tunisia U17's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Ethiopia U17 let in goals in 63% of their last 16 matches.

Ethiopia U17 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tunisia U17 VS Ethiopia U17
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tunisia U17

(Home)
19 May
Tunisia U17
0 : 1
Ethiopia U17
16 May
Tunisia U17
1 : 2
Egypt U17
13 May
Morocco U17
1 : 1
Tunisia U17
15 Nov
Austria U17
2 : 0
Tunisia U17
09 Nov
Belgium U17
2 : 0
Tunisia U17
Page 1 of 7

Ethiopia U17

(Away)
23 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Mozambique U17
19 May
Tunisia U17
0 : 1
Ethiopia U17
16 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Morocco U17
13 May
Egypt U17
0 : 0
Ethiopia U17
02 Oct
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Mali U17
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U17 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Egypt U17 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Ethiopia U17 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Tunisia U17 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U17 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Cameroon U17 3 2 0 1 2:2 6
3 Uganda U17 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 D.R. Congo U17 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania U17 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
2 Mali U17 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Mozambique U17 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
4 Angola U17 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U17 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 Algeria U17 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Ghana U17 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 South Africa U17 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)