Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Estadio BBVA, Monterrey

Tunisia

0 - 4

Japan

Our Tip

Match Events

Kamada D.

Assist: Nakamura K.

31'

Ueda A.

Assist: Itakura K.

46'

Sub

Saad E. In: Gharbi I.

Out: Saad E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Tunisia and Japan finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Japan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Tunisia

30%

Draws

62%

Japan

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Japan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Japan come out ahead of Tunisia on wins alone.
62% — that's where the model lands on Japan taking it.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Japan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%

Tunisia Clean Sheet 10%

Japan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tunisia	Japan
Matches Played	26	28
Wins	9	19
Draws	6	6
Losses	11	3
Goals Scored	1.38	2.43
Goals Conceded	1.54	0.57
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 World Championship

Tunisia vs Japan

0:4

Oct 17, 2023 Friendly International

Japan vs Tunisia

2:0

Jun 14, 2022 Kirin Cup (Japan)

Japan vs Tunisia

0:3

Mar 27, 2015 Friendly International

Japan vs Tunisia

2:0

Oct 8, 2003 Friendly International

Tunisia vs Japan

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tunisia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Japan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ueda A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Kamada D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tunisia 10 / 100

Japan 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tunisia Japan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tunisia found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (26 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Japan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 39% of 28 matches.

Tunisia has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tunisia VS Japan

0.5 Goals Scored 1.75

2.5 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tunisia

(Home)

24 Sept

Tunisia

1 : 1

Uganda

25 Jun

Tunisia

1 : 3

Netherlands

21 Jun

Tunisia

0 : 4

Japan

15 Jun

Sweden

5 : 1

Tunisia

06 Jun

Belgium

5 : 0

Tunisia

Page 1 of 6

Japan

(Away)

24 Sept

Japan

3 : 1

Uruguay

29 Jun

Brazil

2 : 1

Japan

25 Jun

Japan

1 : 1

Sweden

21 Jun

Tunisia

0 : 4

Japan

14 Jun

Netherlands

2 : 2

Japan

Page 1 of 6