Sport Picks

Tunisia vs Libya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations

Libya

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Tunisia at 1.41 goals for, 1.38 against; Libya at 1.17 for, 0.93 against. Past meetings favor Tunisia slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2023, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.00) back Tunisia to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Tunisia

35%

Draws

39%

Libya

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Libya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Tunisia come out ahead of Libya on wins alone.
Libya are the model's pick here, at 80%.
Tunisia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Tunisia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Tunisia have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Tunisia Clean Sheet 20%

Libya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tunisia	Libya
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	13	12
Draws	7	11
Losses	12	7
Goals Scored	1.41	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations

Libya vs Tunisia

0:1

Mar 24, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations

Tunisia vs Libya

3:0

Mar 25, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations

Libya vs Tunisia

2:5

Nov 15, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations

Tunisia vs Libya

4:1

Oct 20, 2019 African Nations Championship

Libya vs Tunisia

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tunisia 12 / 100

Libya 74 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tunisia Libya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Libya Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Tunisia scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Libya has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Tunisia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tunisia VS Libya

1.63 Goals Scored 1

1 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tunisia

(Home)

28 Sept

Tunisia

2 : 2

Botswana

24 Sept

Tunisia

1 : 1

Uganda

25 Jun

Tunisia

1 : 3

Netherlands

21 Jun

Tunisia

0 : 4

Japan

15 Jun

Sweden

5 : 1

Tunisia

Page 1 of 7

Libya

(Away)

29 Sept

Uganda

1 : 0

Libya

24 Sept

Libya

2 : 2

Botswana

31 Mar

Liberia

2 : 2

Libya

27 Mar

Libya

0 : 0

Niger

25 Nov

Palestine

1 : 0

Libya

Page 1 of 6