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Tunisia vs Mauritania

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tunisia play Mauritania in the Friendly International 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tunisia averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Mauritania averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In past meetings, Tunisia won 2, Mauritania won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Nov 12, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Tunisia and 0.88 for Mauritania. This points to a Tunisia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tunisia
6%
Draws
90%
Mauritania
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mauritania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tunisia has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Mauritania.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Mauritania.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Friendly International 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Tunisia Clean Sheet 25%
Mauritania Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tunisia Mauritania
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2025 Friendly International
Tunisia vs Mauritania
1:1
Jan 6, 2024 Friendly International
Tunisia vs Mauritania
0:0
Jan 16, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations
Tunisia vs Mauritania
4:0
Nov 30, 2021 FIFA Arab Cup
Tunisia vs Mauritania
5:1
Oct 10, 2021 World Championship
Mauritania vs Tunisia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tunisia Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaouat F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Mauritania Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarr M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tunisia 10 / 100
Mauritania 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tunisia Mauritania

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MRT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tunisia scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Mauritania let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Tunisia went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Mauritania lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tunisia VS Mauritania
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 33%
75% Over 2.5 17%
38% Over 3.5 0%