Sport Picks

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Tunisia W vs Botswana W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 Stade Pere-Jego, Casablanca
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Khanchouch Y.
29'
Gaofetoge L.
34'
Ben Mbarek S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Botswana W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Tunisia W
20%
Draws
36%
Botswana W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tunisia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Tunisia W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tunisia W a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Tunisia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Botswana W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Tunisia W Clean Sheet 68%
Botswana W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tunisia W Botswana W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 11
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.97 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Tunisia W vs Botswana W
1:2
Jul 15, 2024 Friendly International Women
Tunisia W vs Botswana W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tunisia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Khanchouch Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Botswana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Radiakanyo L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ontlametse G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tunisia W 59 / 100
Botswana W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tunisia W Botswana W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tunisia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tunisia W's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Botswana W conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Tunisia W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tunisia W VS Botswana W
3.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tunisia W

(Home)
08 Jun
Egypt W
3 : 2
Tunisia W
05 Jun
Egypt W
2 : 1
Tunisia W
16 Apr
Tunisia W
2 : 1
Comoros W
12 Apr
Tunisia W
1 : 0
Benin W
01 Nov
Chad W
1 : 0
Tunisia W
Page 1 of 6

Botswana W

(Away)
12 Apr
Saudi Arabia U20 W
0 : 3
Botswana W
10 Apr
Saudi Arabia W
1 : 1
Botswana W
24 Feb
Zimbabwe W
1 : 0
Botswana W
22 Feb
Botswana W
1 : 1
Eswatini W
19 Feb
Zambia W
3 : 0
Botswana W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Zambia W 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
3 Senegal W 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
4 D.R. Congo W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria W 3 2 1 0 4:0 7
2 Algeria W 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
3 Botswana W 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Tunisia W 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa W 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Ghana W 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Mali W 3 1 1 1 2:5 4
4 Tanzania W 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams