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Tunisia W vs Congo W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024
Tunisia W Logo

Tunisia W

5 - 2
FT
Congo W Logo

Congo W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-2, with Tunisia W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tunisia W
15%
Draws
34%
Congo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tunisia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Congo W haven't matched Tunisia W's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Tunisia W taking it.
  • Tunisia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tunisia W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Tunisia W Clean Sheet 68%
Congo W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tunisia W Congo W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.97 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Congo W vs Tunisia W
1:1
Nov 30, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Tunisia W vs Congo W
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tunisia W 59 / 100
Congo W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tunisia W Congo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tunisia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Tunisia W's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Congo W has conceded goals in 77% of their last 22 outings.

Away concern: Congo W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tunisia W VS Congo W
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tunisia W

(Home)
08 Jun
Egypt W
3 : 2
Tunisia W
05 Jun
Egypt W
2 : 1
Tunisia W
16 Apr
Tunisia W
2 : 1
Comoros W
12 Apr
Tunisia W
1 : 0
Benin W
01 Nov
Chad W
1 : 0
Tunisia W
Page 1 of 6

Congo W

(Away)
26 Feb
Congo W
:
Malawi W
20 Feb
Malawi W
:
Congo W
05 Dec
Congo W
1 : 1
Tunisia W
30 Nov
Tunisia W
5 : 2
Congo W
26 Sept
Congo W
2 : 0
Guinea Bissau W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Senegal W 3
Mozambique W 2
Egypt W 8
South Sudan W 0
Central Africa W 1
Mali W 10
Guinea W 11
Mauritius W 0
Nigeria W -
Sao Tome and Principe W -
Cape Verde W 6
Liberia W 2
Uganda W 2
Algeria W 3
Burundi W 3
Ethiopia W 2
Equatorial Guinea W -
Libya W -
D.R. Congo W 4
Benin W 2
Ivory Coast W 2
Tanzania W 3
Djibouti W 0
Togo W 13
Rwanda W 0
Ghana W 12
Gambia W 2
Namibia W 5
Cameroon W 1
Kenya W 2
Gabon W 1
Botswana W 10
Tunisia W 12
Niger W 1
Guinea Bissau W 0
Congo W 3
Angola W -
Sudan W -
TBD -
Zambia W -
Eswatini W 2
Burkina Faso W 6
TBD -
South Africa W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Senegal W 4
Egypt W 0
Mali W 10
Guinea W 2
Nigeria W 7
Cape Verde W 1
Algeria W 6
Burundi W 1
Equatorial Guinea W 2
D.R. Congo W 3
Tanzania W 3
Togo W 2
Ghana W 3
Namibia W 2
Kenya W 1
Botswana W 2
Tunisia W 6
Congo W 3
Angola W 0
Zambia W 12
Burkina Faso W 1
South Africa W 3
TBD -
TBD -