Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tuntum vs IAPE

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Furtado R.
42' Event
Neto Maranhao
48' Event
da Conceicao G.

AI Match Summary

The Maranhense game between Tuntum and IAPE finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tuntum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Tuntum
35%
Draws
16%
IAPE
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tuntum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • IAPE carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tuntum are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Tuntum Clean Sheet 68%
IAPE Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuntum IAPE
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Maranhense
Tuntum vs IAPE
2:1
Mar 18, 2025 Maranhense
IAPE vs Tuntum
2:1
Feb 18, 2025 Maranhense
Tuntum vs IAPE
1:1
Mar 27, 2022 Maranhense
IAPE vs Tuntum
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuntum Compare

Top Goalscorer Neto Maranhao
1 Goals
Assists Leader da Conceicao G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

IAPE Compare

Top Goalscorer Furtado R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuntum 95 / 100
IAPE 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuntum IAPE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tuntum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuntum's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tuntum remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

IAPE's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tuntum VS IAPE
1.67 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 25%
67% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuntum

(Home)
11 Feb
Tuntum
1 : 2
Imperatriz
07 Feb
Imperatriz
2 : 2
Tuntum
01 Feb
Moto Club
2 : 2
Tuntum
28 Jan
Tuntum
1 : 1
Sampaio Correa
25 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 2
Tuntum
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IAPE

(Away)
07 Jun
Maracana
2 : 0
IAPE
31 May
IAPE
1 : 3
Sampaio Correa
23 May
IAPE
1 : 1
Iguatu
16 May
Moto Club
2 : 2
IAPE
09 May
IAPE
1 : 2
Parnahyba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moto Club 7 3 4 0 10:4 13
2 Maranhao 7 4 1 2 9:7 13
3 Sampaio Correa 7 2 5 0 13:5 11
4 IAPE 7 3 2 2 4:3 11
5 Luminense 7 3 1 3 6:6 10
6 Tuntum 7 2 3 2 8:9 9
7 Imperatriz 7 1 3 3 2:5 6
8 ITZ Sport 7 0 1 6 1:14 1
Promotion - Maranhense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Maranhense (Relegation)
Relegation - Maranhense 2 2027 (Main)