Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2012

Tupa

1 - 0

Guariba

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2012 game between Tupa and Guariba finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tupa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

Tupa

15%

Draws

64%

Guariba

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guariba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Tupa carry the better recent record into this one.
Guariba are the model's pick here, at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Tupa Clean Sheet 16%

Guariba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tupa	Guariba
Matches Played	37	33
Wins	19	14
Draws	5	8
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	1.51	1.7
Goals Conceded	1.41	1.55
Expected Goals (xG)	1.35	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2012 Paulista A4

Tupa vs Guariba

1:0

Jul 18, 2012 Paulista A4

Guariba vs Tupa

1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupa 23 / 100

Guariba 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tupa Guariba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guariba Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tupa's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Guariba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Tupa remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tupa VS -

1.5 Goals Scored 0

1.88 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupa

(Home)

05 Jul

Independente SP

2 : 0

Tupa

28 Jun

Tupa

0 : 2

Independente SP

20 Jun

Tupa

1 : 2

Santa Fe SP

14 Jun

Riopretano

0 : 1

Tupa

06 Jun

America SP

3 : 1

Tupa

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Guariba

(Away)

21 Sept

Guariba

2 : 1

Paulinia

17 Sept

Portuguesa Santista

2 : 0

Guariba

13 Sept

Gremio Prudente

3 : 4

Guariba

07 Sept

Guariba

4 : 3

Gremio Prudente

03 Sept

Guariba

0 : 1

Portuguesa Santista

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