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Tupan vs Luminense

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2 2025
Tupan Logo

Tupan

0 - 0
FT
Luminense Logo

Luminense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Maranhense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Tupan
30%
Draws
31%
Luminense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tupan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Tupan haven't matched Luminense's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Maranhense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Tupan Clean Sheet 17%
Luminense Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupan Luminense
Matches Played 19 16
Wins 2 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 0.74 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.11 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Maranhense 2
Tupan vs Luminense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupan 36 / 100
Luminense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupan Luminense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luminense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Tupan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Luminense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tupan's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Defensive concern: Luminense conceded in 38% of 16 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tupan VS Luminense
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupan

(Home)
15 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
5 : 1
Tupan
11 Jul
Tupan
0 : 1
Timon EC (MA)
01 Jul
Tupan
0 : 0
Araioses
24 Jun
Americano Bacabal
2 : 2
Tupan
20 Jun
Tupan
1 : 0
Expressinho
Page 1 of 4

Luminense

(Away)
01 Feb
Maranhao
1 : 0
Luminense
28 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 2
Luminense
25 Jan
Sampaio Correa
1 : 1
Luminense
22 Jan
Luminense
0 : 1
IAPE
18 Jan
Luminense
0 : 3
Moto Club
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luminense 4 3 1 0 9:1 10
2 Sao Luis 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
3 Americano Bacabal 4 2 0 2 5:9 6
4 Tupan 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
5 Expressinho 4 0 0 4 2:17 0
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lago Verde 4 3 1 0 10:4 10
2 Timon EC (MA) 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
3 Sao Jose (MA) 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ITZ Sport 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Cordino EC 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
3 Balsas 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)