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Tupan vs Sao Jose (MA) Prediction & H2H Stats

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Maranhense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Jose (MA) in this Maranhense 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Jose (MA).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Tupan
20%
Draws
30%
Sao Jose (MA)
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tupan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Jose (MA) lately — more wins on the board than Tupan.
  • Tupan are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Maranhense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sao Jose (MA) have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Tupan Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Jose (MA) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupan Sao Jose (MA)
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 2 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 0.74 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.11 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Maranhense 2
Tupan vs Sao Jose (MA)
2:3
Nov 5, 2024 Maranhense 2
Tupan vs Sao Jose (MA)
0:3
Oct 15, 2024 Maranhense 2
Sao Jose (MA) vs Tupan
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupan 59 / 100
Sao Jose (MA) 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupan Sao Jose (MA)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tupan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose (MA) has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tupan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Sao Jose (MA) has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tupan VS Sao Jose (MA)
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupan

(Home)
15 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
5 : 1
Tupan
11 Jul
Tupan
0 : 1
Timon EC (MA)
01 Jul
Tupan
0 : 0
Araioses
24 Jun
Americano Bacabal
2 : 2
Tupan
20 Jun
Tupan
1 : 0
Expressinho
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Sao Jose (MA)

(Away)
04 Jul
Expressinho
2 : 1
Sao Jose (MA)
27 Jun
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 2
Sao Luis
21 Jun
Americano Bacabal
1 : 0
Sao Jose (MA)
14 Jun
Tupan
2 : 3
Sao Jose (MA)
30 May
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 1
Araioses
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araioses 5 4 1 0 6:0 13
2 Sao Luis 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
3 Tupan 5 1 3 1 6:6 6
4 Expressinho 5 2 0 3 5:6 6
5 Americano Bacabal 5 1 1 3 3:9 4
6 Sao Jose (MA) 5 1 0 4 4:8 3
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lago Verde 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
2 Pinheiro 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
3 Viana 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Timon EC (MA) 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
2 Cordino EC 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
3 Balsas 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)