Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tupapa vs Lotohaapai

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2019
Tupapa Logo

Tupapa

4 - 1
FT
Lotohaapai Logo

Lotohaapai

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Colligan J.
7' Event
Mata B.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Lutu V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2019 game between Tupapa and Lotohaapai finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tupapa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tupapa
15%
Draws
51%
Lotohaapai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lotohaapai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Tupapa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tupapa have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tupapa Clean Sheet 20%
Lotohaapai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupapa Lotohaapai
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 11 5
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 2.21 1.62
Goals Conceded 3.55 4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2019 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Lotohaapai
4:1
Oct 15, 2013 OFC Champions League
Lotohaapai vs Tupapa
0:3
May 1, 2012 OFC Champions League
Lotohaapai vs Tupapa
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tupapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Colligan J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harmon G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Lotohaapai Compare

Top Goalscorer Lutu V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupapa 31 / 100
Lotohaapai 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupapa Lotohaapai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tupapa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lotohaapai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 95% of 21 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Tupapa scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Lotohaapai registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tupapa VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupapa

(Home)
15 Aug
Tupapa
1 : 7
ABM Galaxy
12 Aug
Rewa
4 : 2
Tupapa
09 Aug
Lae City
4 : 1
Tupapa
06 Feb
Pago Youth
0 : 3
Tupapa
03 Feb
Tupapa
1 : 1
Vaivase-Tai
Page 1 of 6

Lotohaapai

(Away)
02 Feb
Lotohaapai
1 : 9
Kiwi
30 Jan
Tupapa
4 : 1
Lotohaapai
27 Jan
Pago Youth
1 : 5
Lotohaapai
11 Oct
Puaikura
1 : 0
Lotohaapai
09 Oct
FC SKBC
1 : 4
Lotohaapai
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tupapa 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 Kiwi 3 2 0 1 14:8 6
3 Lotohaapai 3 1 0 2 7:14 3
4 Pago Youth 3 0 0 3 5:11 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Main)