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Tupapa vs Vaivase-Tai Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League Victoria Park, Avarua
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Webb E.
57' Event
Letutusa L.
84'
Viliamu K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this OFC Champions League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tupapa
30%
Draws
39%
Vaivase-Tai
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vaivase-Tai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Vaivase-Tai haven't matched Tupapa's recent run of results.
  • Tupapa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tupapa Clean Sheet 20%
Vaivase-Tai Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupapa Vaivase-Tai
Matches Played 31 9
Wins 13 3
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 2.74 2.89
Goals Conceded 3.48 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2026 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Vaivase-Tai
1:1
Feb 16, 2024 OFC Champions League
Vaivase-Tai vs Tupapa
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tupapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Webb E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Vaivase-Tai Compare

Top Goalscorer Letutusa L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupapa 85 / 100
Vaivase-Tai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupapa Vaivase-Tai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tupapa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tupapa found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Vaivase-Tai let in goals in 78% of their last 9 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tupapa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tupapa VS Vaivase-Tai
3.13 Goals Scored 2.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupapa

(Home)
15 Aug
Tupapa
1 : 7
ABM Galaxy
12 Aug
Rewa
4 : 2
Tupapa
09 Aug
Lae City
4 : 1
Tupapa
06 Feb
Pago Youth
0 : 3
Tupapa
03 Feb
Tupapa
1 : 1
Vaivase-Tai
Page 1 of 7

Vaivase-Tai

(Away)
05 Feb
Nukuhetulu
3 : 5
Vaivase-Tai
03 Feb
Tupapa
1 : 1
Vaivase-Tai
30 Jan
Vaivase-Tai
1 : 1
Pago Youth
19 May
Vaivase-Tai
1 : 5
Ifira Blackbird
16 May
Magenta
8 : 0
Vaivase-Tai
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tupapa 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Vaivase-Tai 3 1 2 0 7:5 5
3 Pago Youth 3 0 2 1 3:6 2
4 Nukuhetulu 3 0 1 2 5:10 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League (Main)