Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tupi-MG vs Coimbra Esporte Clube

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Marcelo Macola
50' Event
Gustavinho
90' Event
Hugo V.

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2025 game between Tupi-MG and Coimbra Esporte Clube finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tupi-MG
44%
Draws
20%
Coimbra Esporte Clube
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coimbra Esporte Clube come out ahead of Tupi-MG on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Coimbra Esporte Clube have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Tupi-MG Clean Sheet 23%
Coimbra Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupi-MG Coimbra Esporte Clube
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 2 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2025 Mineiro 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Tupi-MG
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 Mineiro 3
Tupi-MG vs Coimbra Esporte Clube
2:2
Jun 11, 2022 Mineiro 2
Tupi-MG vs Coimbra Esporte Clube
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tupi-MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schimaltz P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Coimbra Esporte Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelo Macola
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hugo V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupi-MG 37 / 100
Coimbra Esporte Clube 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupi-MG Coimbra Esporte Clube

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Coimbra Esporte Clube has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Tupi-MG scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Tupi-MG remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tupi-MG VS Coimbra Esporte Clube
1 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
83% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tupi-MG633011:712
2Coimbra Esporte Clube632112:611
3Novo Esporte63218:411
4Inter de Minas631211:710
5Boston City62137:117
6Uniao Luziense60334:73
7Serranense60245:162
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boa541013:113
2Paracatu51315:86
3Juventus Minasnovense51226:105
4Essube51225:65
5Passos51223:45
6Nacional Uberaba51225:85