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Tupi-MG vs Uniao Luziense Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Gustavinho
65' Event
Lucas Inacio
66' Event
Allen Tucker M.

AI Match Summary

Tupi-MG in this Mineiro 3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tupi-MG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Tupi-MG
30%
Draws
35%
Uniao Luziense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tupi-MG lately — more wins on the board than Uniao Luziense.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Tupi-MG Clean Sheet 23%
Uniao Luziense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupi-MG Uniao Luziense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 9 11
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.87 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Mineiro 3
Tupi-MG vs Uniao Luziense
2:1
May 27, 2023 Mineiro 2
Uniao Luziense vs Tupi-MG
1:5
May 7, 2022 Mineiro 2
Tupi-MG vs Uniao Luziense
0:0
Jul 31, 2021 Mineiro 2
Uniao Luziense vs Tupi-MG
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tupi-MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Inacio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Uniao Luziense Compare

Top Goalscorer Allen Tucker M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupi-MG 37 / 100
Uniao Luziense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupi-MG Uniao Luziense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao Luziense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Luziense has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Tupi-MG scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Tupi-MG stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tupi-MG VS Uniao Luziense
1.13 Goals Scored 0.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.17
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupi-MG

(Home)
22 Nov
Boa
3 : 1
Tupi-MG
15 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 2
Paracatu
08 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 0
Essube
02 Nov
Coimbra Esporte Clube
3 : 1
Tupi-MG
25 Oct
Tupi-MG
0 : 3
Novo Esporte
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Uniao Luziense

(Away)
11 Oct
Tupi-MG
2 : 1
Uniao Luziense
27 Sept
Uniao Luziense
1 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
21 Sept
Boston City
2 : 2
Uniao Luziense
13 Sept
Uniao Luziense
0 : 0
Inter de Minas
06 Sept
Serranense
0 : 0
Uniao Luziense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tupi-MG 6 3 3 0 11:7 12
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 6 3 2 1 12:6 11
3 Novo Esporte 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
4 Inter de Minas 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
5 Boston City 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
6 Uniao Luziense 6 0 3 3 4:7 3
7 Serranense 6 0 2 4 5:16 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2025 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boa 5 4 1 0 13:1 13
2 Paracatu 5 1 3 1 5:8 6
3 Juventus Minasnovense 5 1 2 2 6:10 5
4 Essube 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
5 Passos 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
6 Nacional Uberaba 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2025 (Final Group)