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Tupy FC vs Bela Vista FC

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Roniel
39' Event
Hilario
78'
Cristiann

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Tupy FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tupy FC
40%
Draws
29%
Bela Vista FC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tupy FC come out ahead of Bela Vista FC on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Tupy FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tupy FC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Tupy FC Clean Sheet 19%
Bela Vista FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupy FC Bela Vista FC
Matches Played 26 10
Wins 10 3
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 1
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Goiano 3
Tupy FC vs Bela Vista FC
3:0
Sep 28, 2024 Goiano 3
Bela Vista FC vs Tupy FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tupy FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Roniel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hilario
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Bela Vista FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupy FC 32 / 100
Bela Vista FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupy FC Bela Vista FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tupy FC scored in 81% of their last 26 outings.

Bela Vista FC let in goals in 80% of their last 10 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tupy FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tupy FC VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupy FC

(Home)
30 Jul
Trindade
1 : 1
Tupy FC
27 Jul
Tupy FC
0 : 1
Anapolina
19 Jul
Centro Oeste
1 : 0
Tupy FC
13 Jul
Tupy FC
0 : 1
Gremio Anapolis
09 Jul
Morrinhos
0 : 1
Tupy FC
Page 1 of 6

Bela Vista FC

(Away)
13 Oct
Tupy FC
3 : 0
Bela Vista FC
28 Sept
Bela Vista FC
1 : 1
Tupy FC
21 Sept
Itaberai
1 : 3
Bela Vista FC
15 Sept
Bela Vista FC
2 : 2
America GO
11 Sept
Bela Vista FC
0 : 0
Guanabara City
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guanabara City2
Mineiros1
Rio Verde6
Uruacu2
Itumbiara3
Aparecida EC2
Bela Vista FC1
Tupy FC4
Semi-finals
Guanabara City0
Rio Verde6
Itumbiara1
Tupy FC5
Final
Rio Verde4
Tupy FC3