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Tupy FC vs Bom Jesus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Goiano 2 game between Tupy FC and Bom Jesus finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bom Jesus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Tupy FC
35%
Draws
42%
Bom Jesus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bom Jesus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bom Jesus come out ahead of Tupy FC on wins alone.
  • Bom Jesus are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Goiano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Tupy FC Clean Sheet 20%
Bom Jesus Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupy FC Bom Jesus
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 17
Draws 13 9
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 1.07 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Goiano 2
Bom Jesus vs Tupy FC
1:1
Aug 26, 2026 Goiano 2
Tupy FC vs Bom Jesus
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupy FC 24 / 100
Bom Jesus 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupy FC Bom Jesus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bom Jesus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tupy FC scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Tupy FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bom Jesus has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tupy FC VS Bom Jesus
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupy FC

(Home)
09 Oct
Trindade
2 : 3
Tupy FC
07 Oct
Tupy FC
1 : 1
Rio Verde
03 Oct
Tupy FC
1 : 3
Goianesia
26 Sept
Goiania
1 : 1
Tupy FC
23 Sept
Mineiros
1 : 0
Tupy FC
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Bom Jesus

(Away)
07 Oct
Bom Jesus
3 : 2
Morrinhos
03 Oct
Bom Jesus
2 : 0
Trindade
27 Sept
Rio Verde
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
23 Sept
Gremio Anapolis
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
20 Sept
Bom Jesus
1 : 1
Goiania
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 17 9 6 2 26:12 33
2 Bom Jesus 17 8 7 2 24:15 31
3 Goianesia 17 8 6 3 24:19 30
4 Mineiros 17 8 4 5 19:14 28
5 Morrinhos 17 6 4 7 24:24 22
6 Tupy FC 18 5 7 6 18:19 22
7 Goiania 17 4 8 5 13:18 20
8 Sao Luis 17 3 7 7 19:26 16
9 Gremio Anapolis 17 3 5 9 20:27 14
10 Trindade 18 2 6 10 15:28 12
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)