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Tupy FC vs Pires do Rio

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Valter Bala
48' Event
Pica-pau Lucas
55' Event
Valter Bala

AI Match Summary

Tupy FC in this Goiano 3 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tupy FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Tupy FC
30%
Draws
47%
Pires do Rio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pires do Rio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Tupy FC have won more games recently than Pires do Rio.
  • Win probability leans Pires do Rio's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Tupy FC Clean Sheet 10%
Pires do Rio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupy FC Pires do Rio
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 9 2
Draws 12 3
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.18
Goals Conceded 1 3.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2024 Goiano 3
Pires do Rio vs Tupy FC
1:7
Aug 24, 2024 Goiano 3
Tupy FC vs Pires do Rio
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tupy FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Valter Bala
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pica-pau Lucas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Pires do Rio Compare

Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupy FC 26 / 100
Pires do Rio 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupy FC Pires do Rio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pires do Rio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pires do Rio conceded in 82% of 17 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Tupy FC's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pires do Rio lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tupy FC VS Pires do Rio
0.63 Goals Scored 5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
38% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupy FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Tupy FC
1 : 3
Goianesia
26 Sept
Goiania
1 : 1
Tupy FC
23 Sept
Mineiros
1 : 0
Tupy FC
19 Sept
Tupy FC
0 : 1
Sao Luis
13 Sept
Bom Jesus
1 : 1
Tupy FC
Page 1 of 6

Pires do Rio

(Away)
15 Nov
ABD FC
3 : 0
Pires do Rio
09 Nov
Pires do Rio
10 : 2
Itumbiara
01 Nov
Sao Luis
3 : 0
Pires do Rio
26 Oct
Pires do Rio
1 : 4
Bom Jesus
18 Oct
Aparecida EC
0 : 0
Pires do Rio
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uruacu 6 4 1 1 16:11 13
2 Tupy FC 6 4 0 2 15:7 12
3 Rio Verde 6 3 1 2 19:7 10
4 Pires do Rio 6 0 0 6 5:30 0
Promotion - Goiano 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mineiros 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
2 Guanabara City 8 4 2 2 9:5 14
3 Bela Vista FC 8 3 5 0 13:7 14
4 Itaberai 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
5 America GO 8 0 4 4 6:15 4
Promotion - Goiano 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aparecida EC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
2 Itumbiara 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Cerrado EC 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Rioverdense 6 0 2 4 3:9 2
Promotion - Goiano 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams