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Tupy vs Doze Futebol Clube

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tupy in this Campeonato Capixaba 2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tupy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tupy
33%
Draws
40%
Doze Futebol Clube
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Doze Futebol Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Doze Futebol Clube lately — more wins on the board than Tupy.
  • Doze Futebol Clube are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Tupy Clean Sheet 20%
Doze Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupy Doze Futebol Clube
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2018 Capixaba
Tupy vs Doze Futebol Clube
2:1
Mar 18, 2017 Capixaba
Tupy vs Doze Futebol Clube
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupy 28 / 100
Doze Futebol Clube 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupy Doze Futebol Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tupy found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Doze Futebol Clube's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tupy remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tupy VS Doze Futebol Clube
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupy

(Home)
21 Jul
Sport-ES
5 : 1
Tupy
18 Jul
Tupy
0 : 2
Rive
11 Jul
Tupy
1 : 0
Pinheiros
26 Oct
GEL
1 : 1
Tupy
20 Oct
Tupy
0 : 1
Capixaba SC
Page 1 of 6

Doze Futebol Clube

(Away)
23 Jul
GEL
0 : 0
Doze Futebol Clube
19 Jul
Doze Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Linhares Futebol Clube
12 Jul
Doze Futebol Clube
3 : 0
CTE Colatina
10 Mar
Serra
3 : 1
Doze Futebol Clube
03 Mar
Doze Futebol Clube
2 : 2
Rio Branco-VN
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Serra971116:722
2Real Noroeste953120:1018
3Galatas943213:715
4Rio Branco-VN943216:1115
5Desportiva Ferroviaria935114:814
6CA Itapemirim935114:814
7Vitoria ES93337:912
8Tupy91267:175
9Doze Futebol Clube91178:234
10SAO Mateus90275:202
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2018 (Play Offs)