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Turan 2 vs Araz PFK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Tagiyev A.
11' Event
Aliyev O.
13' Event
Qurbanov B.

AI Match Summary

Araz PFK in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 5-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araz PFK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Turan 2
20%
Draws
7%
Araz PFK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Turan 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Turan 2 lately — more wins on the board than Araz PFK.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Turan 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Turan 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Araz PFK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan 2 Araz PFK
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.75 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.32 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2023 I Liqa
Turan 2 vs Araz PFK
5:6
Oct 12, 2022 I Liqa
Araz PFK vs Turan 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turan 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tagiyev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ismayilov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Araz PFK Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliyev O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Qurbanov B.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 2 58 / 100
Araz PFK 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan 2 Araz PFK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turan 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Turan 2's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Araz PFK conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Turan 2 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Araz PFK
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Turan 2

(Home)
23 May
Turan 2
3 : 0
Imisli FK
16 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
1 : 3
Turan 2
09 May
Turan 2
3 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
03 May
Neftci Baku 2
2 : 2
Turan 2
24 Apr
Turan 2
0 : 2
Sabail 2
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Araz PFK

(Away)
20 Sept
Shamakhi
2 : 1
Araz PFK
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 2
Araz PFK
31 Aug
Araz PFK
0 : 1
Sabah Baku
23 Aug
Neftci Baku
5 : 0
Araz PFK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
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