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Turan vs FC Astana 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2023 Turkestan Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Diallo A.
14' Event
Diallo A.
25' Event
Diallo A.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2023 game between Turan and FC Astana 2 finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Turan
6%
Draws
4%
FC Astana 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Turan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Turan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Turan Clean Sheet 68%
FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan FC Astana 2
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 3 2
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 2 2.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Turan
0:3
Oct 19, 2023 First League
Turan vs FC Astana 2
8:0
Jul 7, 2023 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Turan
1:3
Oct 16, 2020 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Turan
0:0
Jun 27, 2020 First League
Turan vs FC Astana 2
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Sultaniyazov Z.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

FC Astana 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 95 / 100
FC Astana 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan FC Astana 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Astana 2 let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Turan found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Turan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Turan VS FC Astana 2
2 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Yelimay Semey28244076:1776
2Turan28223385:2769
3Zhenis28193664:3360
4Akzhayik Uralsk28173863:2954
5FK Kyran281621055:5750
6Kairat Almaty 2281051358:5335
7Khan Tengri281051339:3835
8Arys281031540:6233
9Jas Qyran28951450:5332
10Turkistan28951447:5832
11Taraz28941547:5731
12FC Ekibastuz28871346:6431
13Aktobe 228721937:7723
14Akademiya Ontustik28561746:7521
15FC Astana 228612132:8519