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Turan vs FC Ekibastuz

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Erken A.
Assist: Saidov E.
52' Event
Erken A.
Assist: Gerasimov M.
61' Event
Erken A.

AI Match Summary

Turan in this First League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Turan
15%
Draws
0%
FC Ekibastuz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Turan lately — more wins on the board than FC Ekibastuz.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Turan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Turan Clean Sheet 18%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan FC Ekibastuz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.1 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Turan
2:4
May 27, 2026 First League
Turan vs FC Ekibastuz
4:0
Aug 17, 2023 First League
Turan vs FC Ekibastuz
6:1
May 10, 2023 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Turan
1:1
Oct 22, 2020 First League
Turan vs FC Ekibastuz
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Erken A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Makhan O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 85 / 100
FC Ekibastuz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan FC Ekibastuz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turan scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

FC Ekibastuz let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

FC Ekibastuz lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Turan VS FC Ekibastuz
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Turan

(Home)
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
21 Aug
Turan
0 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
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FC Ekibastuz

(Away)
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
11 Sept
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 5
Tobol 2
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
20 Aug
Akademiya Ontustik
3 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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