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Turan vs Jaiyq

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Turan Logo

Turan

2 - 2
FT
Jaiyq Logo

Jaiyq

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Zhurasov A.
45' Event
Israilov A.
Assist: Zhurasov A.
53' Event
Turlybek M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Turan and Jaiyq finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Turan
20%
Draws
24%
Jaiyq
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Turan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Turan taking it.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Turan Clean Sheet 68%
Jaiyq Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan Jaiyq
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 17 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.1 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 First League
Turan vs Jaiyq
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Turlybek M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Jaiyq Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhurasov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Israilov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 95 / 100
Jaiyq 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan Jaiyq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turan scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Turan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Jaiyq has conceded goals in 58% of their last 24 outings.

Scoring Trends

Turan VS Jaiyq
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Turan

(Home)
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
21 Aug
Turan
0 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
Page 1 of 6

Jaiyq

(Away)
17 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
0 : 0
Jaiyq
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
21 Aug
Jaiyq
0 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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