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Stadium Background

Turan vs Jaiyq

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Zhurasov A.
45' Event
Israilov A.
Assist: Zhurasov A.
53' Event
Turlybek M.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Turan and Jaiyq finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Turan
6%
Draws
4%
Jaiyq
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Turan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Turan taking it.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Turan Clean Sheet 68%
Jaiyq Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan Jaiyq
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 11 6
Draws 3 1
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 First League
Turan vs Jaiyq
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Turlybek M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Jaiyq Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhurasov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Israilov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 95 / 100
Jaiyq 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan Jaiyq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Turan scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Jaiyq let in goals in 67% of their last 15 matches.

Turan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Turan VS Jaiyq
2 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Turan

(Home)
16 Jul
Arys
0 : 4
Turan
10 Jul
Shakhter Karagandy
1 : 0
Turan
03 Jul
Turan
2 : 2
Jaiyq
25 Jun
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3
Turan
18 Jun
Turan
4 : 0
Aktobe 2
Page 1 of 6

Jaiyq

(Away)
17 Jul
FC Astana 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
09 Jul
Jaiyq
1 : 0
Tobol 2
03 Jul
Turan
2 : 2
Jaiyq
25 Jun
Jaiyq
0 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
19 Jun
Shakhter Karagandy
3 : 0
Jaiyq
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty 214122050:738
2Shakhter Karagandy14121138:537
3Turan1491429:1128
4FC Astana 21472525:2223
5Akademiya Ontustik1472522:1923
6Jaiyq1461711:1819
7Taraz1452720:2017
8Khan Tengri1452718:2617
9FC Ekibastuz1445517:2617
10Aktobe 21445527:4017
11Kaspij Aktau 21443716:2815
12Arys14311015:3210
13Yelimay Semey 21423911:279
14Tobol 21414923:417
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