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Turan vs Karvan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2025/2026 Tovuz şəhər stadionu, Tovuz
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Match Events

40'
Mickels J.
45' Event
Guseynov A.
46'
Sub
Mickels J. In: Abdullayev S.
Out: Mickels J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Turan and Karvan finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Turan
22%
Draws
18%
Karvan
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Karvan haven't matched Turan's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Turan a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Turan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Turan Clean Sheet 68%
Karvan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan Karvan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 3
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League
Turan vs Karvan
1:0
Feb 9, 2026 Premier League
Turan vs Karvan
1:0
Oct 24, 2025 Premier League
Karvan vs Turan
1:2
May 11, 2014 I Liqa
Karvan vs Turan
2:0
Sep 28, 2013 I Liqa
Turan vs Karvan
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Guseynov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Karvan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 68 / 100
Karvan 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan Karvan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karvan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Turan's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Karvan has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Turan VS Karvan
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Turan

(Home)
22 May
Turan
1 : 2
Sabah Baku
16 May
Shamakhi
3 : 2
Turan
10 May
Turan
1 : 0
Karvan
04 May
Qarabag Agdam
2 : 1
Turan
27 Apr
Turan
1 : 1
Zira FK
Page 1 of 6

Karvan

(Away)
24 May
Imisli FK
1 : 1
Karvan
15 May
Karvan
1 : 2
Gabala
10 May
Turan
1 : 0
Karvan
05 May
Karvan
0 : 3
Neftci Baku
27 Apr
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
Karvan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sabah Baku33246375:2578
2Qarabag Agdam33216671:2769
3Turan33178844:2759
4Neftci Baku331611657:3259
5Zira FK331314643:3653
6Araz PFK331371344:5846
7SumQayit FK331251645:4941
8Shamakhi339111331:4038
9Imisli FK337131323:4334
10Kapaz33832225:6127
11Gabala33762032:4927
12Karvan33362423:6615
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - I Liqa 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)