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Turan vs Karvan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2025/2026 Tovuz şəhər stadionu, Tovuz
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Match Events

40'
Mickels J.
45' Event
Guseynov A.
46'
Sub
Mickels J. In: Abdullayev S.
Out: Mickels J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Turan and Karvan finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Turan
30%
Draws
33%
Karvan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Karvan haven't matched Turan's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Turan a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Turan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Turan Clean Sheet 20%
Karvan Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan Karvan
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.38 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League
Turan vs Karvan
1:0
Feb 9, 2026 Premier League
Turan vs Karvan
1:0
Oct 24, 2025 Premier League
Karvan vs Turan
1:2
May 11, 2014 I Liqa
Karvan vs Turan
2:0
Sep 28, 2013 I Liqa
Turan vs Karvan
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Guseynov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Karvan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 36 / 100
Karvan 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan Karvan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karvan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Turan's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Turan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Turan VS Karvan
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Turan

(Home)
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
23 Aug
Turan
0 : 0
Shamakhi
14 Aug
Turan
1 : 0
Gabala
Page 1 of 6

Karvan

(Away)
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Karvan
03 Sept
Baku Sporting
0 : 3
Karvan
24 May
Imisli FK
1 : 1
Karvan
15 May
Karvan
1 : 2
Gabala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sabah Baku 33 24 6 3 75:25 78
2 Qarabag Agdam 33 21 6 6 71:27 69
3 Turan 33 17 8 8 44:27 59
4 Neftci Baku 33 16 11 6 57:32 59
5 Zira FK 33 13 14 6 43:36 53
6 Araz PFK 33 13 7 13 44:58 46
7 SumQayit FK 33 12 5 16 45:49 41
8 Shamakhi 33 9 11 13 31:40 38
9 Imisli FK 33 7 13 13 23:43 34
10 Kapaz 33 8 3 22 25:61 27
11 Gabala 33 7 6 20 32:49 27
12 Karvan 33 3 6 24 23:66 15
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - I Liqa (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)