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Turan vs Khan Tengri Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Mukhametzhanov U.
Assist: Narzildaev D.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Turan and Khan Tengri finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Turan
15%
Draws
31%
Khan Tengri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Turan come out ahead of Khan Tengri on wins alone.
  • Turan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Turan have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Turan Clean Sheet 20%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan Khan Tengri
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 18 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 2.29 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 First League
Khan Tengri vs Turan
0:1
May 1, 2026 First League
Turan vs Khan Tengri
1:0
Aug 24, 2023 First League
Khan Tengri vs Turan
0:0
May 14, 2023 First League
Turan vs Khan Tengri
1:0
Mar 27, 2023 Kazakhstan Cup
Khan Tengri vs Turan
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukhametzhanov U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Khan Tengri Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 85 / 100
Khan Tengri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan Khan Tengri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turan scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Khan Tengri let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Turan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Turan VS Khan Tengri
2 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Turan

(Home)
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
21 Aug
Turan
0 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
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Khan Tengri

(Away)
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty 2
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
20 Aug
Tobol 2
3 : 4
Khan Tengri
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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